Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Panthers @ Mean Green PV @ UNT

PRAIRIE VIEW A&M

PANTHERSPV

3-4  |  Road

69
FINAL
Sun, Nov 30 • 4:00 PM ET
The Super Pit
View Odds Details →

NORTH TEXAS

MEAN GREENUNT

5-2  |  Home

72
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
100%
📊
MEAN GREEN
0%
PANTHERS --
MEAN GREEN --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
152.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
NORTH TEXAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (North Texas)
PanthersPV (-3.5) 0 Mean GreenUNT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Panthers Cover

27.4%

Mean Green Cover

72.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UNT -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNT)

PV By 1-7 points

16.9%

PV By 8-14 points

6.8%

UNT By 1-7 points

26.8%

UNT By 8-14 points

24.3%

AI Model Projected Score
73
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
79
NORTH TEXAS
Simulated Score
60
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
72
NORTH TEXAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Mean Green Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Mean Green Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Mean Green (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim Mean Green (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 132.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 30, 2025 PV @ UNT 69 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +25.2% more
North Texas: 12.2 vs Prairie View A&M: 9.8
Free Throw % (L5) +1.6%
North Texas: 74.8% vs Prairie View A&M: 73.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PV Score 73.0 69
UNT Score 79.0 72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.8 / 28.5 38.0 / 25.0
Assists 12.2 / 9.8 18.0 / 7.0
Blocks 4.0 / 4.2 5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 40.0 / 39.3 48.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 74.8 / 73.2 69.0 / 82.0
Rebounding 35.7 / 33.1 37.0 / 25.0
Steals 9.7 / 10.2 8.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 11.0 / 11.0 19.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
5%MONEY95%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
26%TICKETS74%
34%MONEY66%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
88%MONEY12%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PV
19-18-0 (51.3%)
Margin: 1.4 ATS +/-: +2.7
UNT Advantage
19-14-0 (57.6%)
Margin: 3.5 ATS +/-: -0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PV Advantage
22-10-0 (68.8%)
Margin: 1.4 ATS +/-: +2.7
UNT
17-14-0 (54.8%)
Margin: 3.5 ATS +/-: -0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
PV
12-20-0
O: 37.5% / U: 62.5% Total +/-: -2.1
UNT
15-16-0
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6% Total +/-: -0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNT
PV
UNT
PV
ML
70% 23-10
59% 20-14
59% 19-13
68% 21-10
ATS
52% 17-16
56% 19-15
59% 19-13
68% 21-10
TTL
67% 22-11
50% 17-17
100% 32-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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