Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Greyhounds COPP @ L-MD

COPPIN STATE

EAGLESCOPP

2-8  |  Road

84
FINAL
Sun, Nov 30 • 6:00 PM ET
Reitz Arena
View Odds Details →

LOYOLA MARYLAND

GREYHOUNDSL-MD

4-5  |  Home

95
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
📊
GREYHOUNDS
0%
EAGLES --
GREYHOUNDS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
119.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
LOYOLA MARYLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Loyola Maryland)
EaglesCOPP (-3.5) 0 GreyhoundsL-MD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

38.2%

Greyhounds Cover

61.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around L-MD -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (L-MD)

COPP By 1-7 points

21.6%

COPP By 8-14 points

10.7%

L-MD By 1-7 points

27.2%

L-MD By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
58
COPPIN STATE
61
LOYOLA MARYLAND
Simulated Score
65
COPPIN STATE
72
LOYOLA MARYLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Greyhounds Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Greyhounds Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Greyhounds (+11.5) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim Greyhounds (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u141.5 Loss
Proj Total: 119.0
D
Sim u141.5 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 30, 2025 COPP @ L-MD 84 - 95
Dec 2, 2024 L-MD @ COPP 68 - 57
Dec 3, 2022 COPP @ L-MD 74 - 71
Nov 17, 2021 L-MD @ COPP 49 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +28.4% more
Loyola Maryland: 4.8 vs Coppin State: 3.8
Assists (L5) +24.4% more
Loyola Maryland: 17.3 vs Coppin State: 13.9
Field Goal % (L5) +7.0%
Loyola Maryland: 47.4% vs Coppin State: 40.4%
Free Throw % (L5) +13.8%
Coppin State: 63.1% vs Loyola Maryland: 49.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
COPP Score 58.0 84
L-MD Score 61.0 95
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.4 / 33.8 41.0 / 36.0
Assists 17.3 / 13.9 20.0 / 13.0
Blocks 4.8 / 3.8 1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 47.4 / 40.4 56.0 / 56.0
Free Throw % 49.3 / 63.1 88.0 / 74.0
Rebounding 41.5 / 39.4 29.0 / 21.0
Steals 8.3 / 9.4 7.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 15.3 / 15.5 15.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
17%MONEY83%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
41%MONEY59%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
67%MONEY33%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COPP
7-24-0 (22.6%)
Margin: -14.9 ATS +/-: -1.6
L-MD Advantage
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -1.8 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COPP
13-17-0 (43.3%)
Margin: -14.9 ATS +/-: -1.6
L-MD Advantage
15-14-1 (51.7%)
Margin: -1.8 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
COPP
19-11-0
O: 63.3% / U: 36.7% Total +/-: +2.1
L-MD
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: +4.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
L-MD
COPP
L-MD
COPP
ML
53% 17-15
65% 20-11
66% 21-11
79% 19-5
ATS
56% 18-14
68% 21-10
66% 21-11
79% 19-5
TTL
44% 14-18
52% 16-15
100% 32-0
100% 24-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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