Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Anteaters @ Spartans UCI @ SJSU

UC IRVINE

ANTEATERSUCI

5-4  |  Road

72
FINAL
Sun, Nov 30 • 5:00 PM ET
Provident Credit Union Event Center
View Odds Details →

SAN JOSÉ STATE

SPARTANSSJSU

3-5  |  Home

63
AI Model Win Probability
ANTEATERS
0%
📊
SPARTANS
100%
ANTEATERS --
SPARTANS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
UC IRVINE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (UC Irvine)
AnteatersUCI (-3.5) 0 SpartansSJSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Anteaters Cover

61.8%

Spartans Cover

38.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UCI -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UCI)

UCI By 1-7 points

27.2%

UCI By 8-14 points

20.1%

SJSU By 1-7 points

21.6%

SJSU By 8-14 points

10.7%

AI Model Projected Score
74
UC IRVINE
71
SAN JOSÉ STATE
Simulated Score
63
UC IRVINE
72
SAN JOSÉ STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Anteaters Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Spartans Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Anteaters (+2.5) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim Spartans (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o137.5 Loss
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim u137.5 Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 30, 2025 UCI @ SJSU 72 - 63
Nov 7, 2023 UCI @ SJSU 64 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +71.0% more
UC Irvine: 6.1 vs San José State: 1.8
Turnovers (L5) +30.4% more
UC Irvine: 15.5 vs San José State: 10.8
Steals (L5) +23.4% more
UC Irvine: 8.1 vs San José State: 6.2
Rebounding (L5) +16.2% more
UC Irvine: 39.1 vs San José State: 32.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UCI Score 74.0 72
SJSU Score 71.0 63
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.9 / 23.8 38.0 / 33.0
Assists 11.2 / 11.2 10.0 / 17.0
Blocks 1.8 / 6.1 2.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 43.4 / 39.1 31.0 / 49.0
Free Throw % 70.0 / 69.6 77.0 / 57.0
Rebounding 32.8 / 39.1 43.0 / 41.0
Steals 6.2 / 8.1 6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 10.8 / 15.5 9.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
94%MONEY6%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
90%MONEY10%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
57%MONEY43%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UCI Advantage
23-12-0 (65.7%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +0.3
SJSU
9-24-0 (27.3%)
Margin: -6.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UCI
16-16-1 (50.0%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +0.3
SJSU
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -6.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
UCI
12-21-0
O: 36.4% / U: 63.6% Total +/-: -2.8
SJSU
21-11-0
O: 65.6% / U: 34.4% Total +/-: +5.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SJSU
UCI
SJSU
UCI
ML
73% 24-9
57% 20-15
62% 20-12
53% 18-16
ATS
73% 24-9
63% 22-13
62% 20-12
53% 18-16
TTL
61% 20-13
57% 20-15
100% 32-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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