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GARDNER-WEBB

RUNNIN' BULLDOGSGWEB

0-7  |  Road

62
FINAL
Sat, Nov 29 • 3:00 PM ET
Trask Coliseum
View Odds Details →

UNC WILMINGTON

SEAHAWKSUNCW

5-1  |  Home

88
AI Model Win Probability
RUNNIN' BULLDOGS
100%
📊
SEAHAWKS
0%
RUNNIN' BULLDOGS --
SEAHAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
UNC WILMINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (UNC Wilmington)
Runnin' BulldogsGWEB (-3.5) 0 SeahawksUNCW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Runnin' Bulldogs Cover

3.6%

Seahawks Cover

96.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UNCW -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNCW)

GWEB By 1-7 points

2.7%

GWEB By 8-14 points

0.5%

UNCW By 1-7 points

10.7%

UNCW By 8-14 points

21.6%

AI Model Projected Score
61
GARDNER-WEBB
79
UNC WILMINGTON
Simulated Score
72
GARDNER-WEBB
78
UNC WILMINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Seahawks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Seahawks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Seahawks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim Seahawks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 29, 2025 GWEB @ UNCW 62 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +40.9% more
UNC Wilmington: 42.3 vs Gardner-Webb: 30.0
Assists (L5) +39.5% more
UNC Wilmington: 14.5 vs Gardner-Webb: 10.4
Field Goal % (L5) +8.0%
UNC Wilmington: 49.6% vs Gardner-Webb: 41.6%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +5.7%
UNC Wilmington: 38.5% vs Gardner-Webb: 32.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GWEB Score 61.0 62
UNCW Score 79.0 88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.5 / 32.8 47.0 / 32.0
Assists 14.5 / 10.4 20.0 / 8.0
Blocks 2.1 / 2.3 2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 49.6 / 41.6 52.0 / 36.0
Free Throw % 73.2 / 68.5 73.0 / 77.0
Rebounding 42.3 / 30.0 40.0 / 32.0
Steals 4.9 / 5.5 7.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 12.6 / 17.4 7.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
5%MONEY95%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
17%TICKETS83%
24%MONEY76%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
39%MONEY61%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GWEB
4-29-0 (12.1%)
Margin: -17.3 ATS +/-: -3.0
UNCW Advantage
27-7-0 (79.4%)
Margin: 8.3 ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GWEB
15-14-1 (51.7%)
Margin: -17.3 ATS +/-: -3.0
UNCW Advantage
16-14-2 (53.3%)
Margin: 8.3 ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
GWEB
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: -1.0
UNCW
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8% Total +/-: -2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNCW
GWEB
UNCW
GWEB
ML
64% 21-12
73% 22-8
52% 17-16
63% 19-11
ATS
58% 19-14
73% 22-8
52% 17-16
63% 19-11
TTL
61% 20-13
53% 16-14
100% 33-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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