Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Saints @ Eagles SIE @ AMER

SIENA

SAINTSSIE

6-2  |  Road

59
FINAL
Sat, Nov 29 • 4:00 PM ET
Bender Arena
View Odds Details →

AMERICAN UNIVERSITY

EAGLESAMER

4-4  |  Home

55
AI Model Win Probability
SAINTS
0%
📊
EAGLES
100%
SAINTS --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
144.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
SIENA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Siena)
SaintsSIE (-3.5) 0 EaglesAMER (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Saints Cover

84.1%

Eagles Cover

15.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SIE -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SIE)

SIE By 1-7 points

23.0%

SIE By 8-14 points

27.2%

AMER By 1-7 points

10.7%

AMER By 8-14 points

3.3%

AI Model Projected Score
77
SIENA
67
AMERICAN UNIVERSITY
Simulated Score
68
SIENA
72
AMERICAN UNIVERSITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Saints Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Saints (+2.5) Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim Eagles (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o137.5 Loss
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Sim u137.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 29, 2025 SIE @ AMER 59 - 55
Nov 12, 2024 AMER @ SIE 66 - 74
Nov 13, 2023 SIE @ AMER 58 - 78
Dec 22, 2022 SIE @ AMER 64 - 61
Nov 5, 2019 AMER @ SIE 80 - 96
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +54.1% more
Siena: 2.7 vs American University: 1.2
Free Throw % (L5) +4.5%
Siena: 73.3% vs American University: 68.8%
Field Goal % (L5) +1.6%
Siena: 49.9% vs American University: 48.3%
Rebounding (L5) +21.5% more
American University: 35.6 vs Siena: 29.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SIE Score 77.0 59
AMER Score 67.0 55
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.2 / 26.6 19.0 / 18.0
Assists 16.5 / 14.6 5.0 / 4.0
Blocks 1.2 / 2.7 4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 48.3 / 49.9 36.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 68.8 / 73.3 76.0 / 60.0
Rebounding 35.6 / 29.3 30.0 / 38.0
Steals 9.7 / 8.9 12.0 / 12.0
Turnovers 10.4 / 11.2 19.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
38%MONEY62%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
25%MONEY75%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
79%TICKETS21%
92%MONEY8%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SIE Advantage
23-12-0 (65.7%)
Margin: 4.5 ATS +/-: +1.3
AMER
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.3 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SIE Advantage
21-14-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 4.5 ATS +/-: +1.3
AMER
16-14-0 (53.3%)
Margin: 3.3 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
SIE
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6% Total +/-: -1.9
AMER
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
AMER
SIE
AMER
SIE
ML
62% 20-12
66% 23-12
62% 20-12
48% 16-17
ATS
59% 19-13
66% 23-12
62% 20-12
48% 16-17
TTL
59% 19-13
54% 19-16
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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