DALLAS
MAVERICKSDAL
5-15 | Road
114
LA
CLIPPERSLAC
5-14 | Home
110
AI Model Win Probability
MAVERICKS
100%
CLIPPERS
0%
MAVERICKS
--
CLIPPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
199.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAC -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
DAL By 1-7 points
1.4%
DAL By 8-14 points
0.2%
LAC By 1-7 points
6.8%
LAC By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Dallas
89
DALLAS
LA
110
LA
Simulated Score
Dallas
112
DALLAS
LA
115
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Clippers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Clippers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Clippers (-9)
Loss
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim
Clippers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u223.5
Loss
Proj Total: 199.0
D
Sim
u223.5
Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 7, 2026
DAL @ LAC
103 - 116
Mar 21, 2026
LAC @ DAL
138 - 131
Nov 29, 2025
DAL @ LAC
114 - 110
Nov 14, 2025
LAC @ DAL
133 - 127
Apr 5, 2025
DAL @ LAC
104 - 135
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+20.6% more
LA: 9.0
vs
Dallas: 7.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.5%
LA: 87.5%
vs
Dallas: 83.0%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.6%
LA: 46.3%
vs
Dallas: 43.6%
Blocks (L5)
+37.2% more
Dallas: 5.9
vs
LA: 3.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DAL Score
89.0
114
LAC Score
110.0
110
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.0 / 36.6
28.0 / 28.0
Assists
22.2 / 24.4
25.0 / 22.0
Blocks
3.7 / 5.9
6.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
46.3 / 43.6
46.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
87.5 / 83.0
94.0 / 82.0
Rebounding
37.8 / 44.1
46.0 / 37.0
Steals
9.0 / 7.4
5.0 / 15.0
Turnovers
14.5 / 14.3
18.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DAL
26-56-0
(31.7%)
Margin: -5.5
ATS +/-: -0.8
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DAL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -5.5
ATS +/-: -0.8
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
DAL
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: +1.0
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
DAL
LAC
DAL
ML
60%
59-40
62%
63-39
55%
45-37
54%
44-37
ATS
66%
65-33-1
67%
68-34
55%
45-37
54%
44-37
TTL
59%
58-40-1
59%
60-41-1
100%
82-0
100%
81-0
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