CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
9-9 | Road
101
INDIANA
PACERSIND
3-16 | Home
103
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
100%
PACERS
0%
BULLS
--
PACERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
235.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
INDIANA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Indiana)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around IND -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IND)
CHI By 1-7 points
4.8%
CHI By 8-14 points
1.1%
IND By 1-7 points
15.3%
IND By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
110
CHICAGO
Indiana
125
INDIANA
Simulated Score
Chicago
113
CHICAGO
Indiana
118
INDIANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Pacers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pacers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Pacers (+2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim
Pacers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u240.0
Win
Proj Total: 235.0
D
Sim
u240.0
Win
Proj Total: 231.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 1, 2026
IND @ CHI
145 - 126
Jan 28, 2026
CHI @ IND
110 - 113
Dec 5, 2025
IND @ CHI
120 - 105
Nov 29, 2025
CHI @ IND
101 - 103
Mar 10, 2025
IND @ CHI
103 - 121
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+49.1% more
Indiana: 6.5
vs
Chicago: 4.4
Steals (L5)
+30.0% more
Indiana: 8.3
vs
Chicago: 6.4
Turnovers (L5)
+15.9% more
Indiana: 15.7
vs
Chicago: 13.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.1%
Indiana: 35.9%
vs
Chicago: 30.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
110.0
101
IND Score
125.0
103
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.9 / 30.8
32.0 / 41.0
Assists
24.1 / 29.5
24.0 / 24.0
Blocks
6.5 / 4.4
10.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
47.5 / 46.8
46.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
75.3 / 77.7
73.0 / 56.0
Rebounding
43.2 / 42.9
44.0 / 45.0
Steals
8.3 / 6.4
8.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
15.7 / 13.6
13.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
Advantage
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
IND
19-63-0
(23.2%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
IND
Advantage
40-42-0
(48.8%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
IND
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IND
CHI
IND
CHI
ML
48%
47-50
56%
54-42
54%
45-38
57%
46-35
ATS
59%
57-40
65%
62-33-1
54%
45-38
57%
46-35
TTL
54%
52-45
58%
56-40
100%
83-0
100%
81-0
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