MONTREAL
CANADIENSMTL
13-7-3 | Road
2
COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
17-1-6 | Home
7
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jakub Dobes
#75 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Mackenzie Blackwood
#39 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Dobes | None-None | 7.00 | 0.806 | -- |
| Mackenzie Blackwood | None-None | 2.00 | 0.913 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
7.00
GAA
Ldr 2.00
0.806
Save %
Ldr 0.913
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
CANADIENS
100%
AVALANCHE
0%
CANADIENS
--
AVALANCHE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around COL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)
MTL By 1 goal
12.1%
MTL By 2-3 goals
9.3%
COL By 1 goal
19.7%
COL By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Montreal
2
MONTREAL
Colorado
3
COLORADO
Simulated Score
Montreal
2
MONTREAL
Colorado
4
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Avalanche
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Avalanche (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 29, 2026
COL @ MTL
3 - 7
Nov 29, 2025
MTL @ COL
2 - 7
Mar 22, 2025
COL @ MTL
5 - 4
Jan 4, 2025
MTL @ COL
2 - 1
Mar 26, 2024
MTL @ COL
2 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+59.7% more
Colorado: 36.0
vs
Montreal: 22.5
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.1%
Colorado: 51.0%
vs
Montreal: 46.9%
Takeaways (L5)
+53.2% more
Montreal: 6.3
vs
Colorado: 3.0
Blocked Shots (L5)
+22.8% more
Montreal: 19.1
vs
Colorado: 14.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MTL Score
2.0
2
COL Score
3.0
7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.8 / 19.1
10.0 / 17.0
Faceoff %
51.0 / 46.9
55.2 / 44.8
Hits
16.8 / 21.2
13.0 / 27.0
Power Play %
8.3 / 19.0
25.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
36.0 / 22.5
36.0 / 23.0
Takeaways
3.0 / 6.3
5.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
MTL
COL
MTL
ML
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
ATS
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
100%
3-0
TTL
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
Contextual Game News
Canadiens Turn to Rookie Jacob Fowler in Net Against Predators; …
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Canadiens Accused of Showcasing Kirby Dach as Trade Rumors Swirl
Steelers Bolster Secondary with Addition of Veteran Cornerback S…
Canadiens Call Up Jacob Fowler After Samuel Montembeault Injury …