WOFFORD
TERRIERSWOF
5-3 | Road
83
EASTERN KENTUCKY
COLONELSEKU
1-6 | Home
77
AI Model Win Probability
TERRIERS
100%
COLONELS
0%
TERRIERS
--
COLONELS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-43.0
EASTERN KENTUCKY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +43.0 points (Eastern Kentucky)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around EKU -43.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EKU)
WOF By 1-7 points
0.0%
WOF By 8-14 points
0.0%
EKU By 1-7 points
0.0%
EKU By 8-14 points
0.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Wofford
50
WOFFORD
Eastern Kentucky
93
EASTERN KENTUCKY
Simulated Score
Wofford
72
WOFFORD
Eastern Kentucky
75
EASTERN KENTUCKY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Colonels
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Colonels
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Colonels (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -43.0
D
Sim
Colonels (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u153.5
Loss
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 29, 2025
WOF @ EKU
83 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+41.6% more
Eastern Kentucky: 6.9
vs
Wofford: 4.9
Turnovers (L5)
+17.1% more
Eastern Kentucky: 13.4
vs
Wofford: 11.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+1.5%
Eastern Kentucky: 69.5%
vs
Wofford: 68.0%
Assists (L5)
+32.4% more
Wofford: 15.6
vs
Eastern Kentucky: 10.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WOF Score
50.0
83
EKU Score
93.0
77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.3 / 36.6
30.0 / 31.0
Assists
10.6 / 15.6
19.0 / 15.0
Blocks
3.0 / 3.2
1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
41.4 / 47.0
38.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
69.5 / 68.0
81.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
35.5 / 36.5
46.0 / 42.0
Steals
6.9 / 4.9
4.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
13.4 / 11.5
10.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WOF
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 1.6
ATS +/-: -1.0
EKU
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -1.6
ATS +/-: -3.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WOF
Advantage
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.6
ATS +/-: -1.0
EKU
10-19-1
(34.5%)
Margin: -1.6
ATS +/-: -3.7
⚖️ Over/Under
WOF
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +4.9
EKU
19-11-0
O: 63.3% / U: 36.7%
Total +/-: +4.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EKU
WOF
EKU
WOF
ML
44%
14-18
39%
12-19
69%
22-10
61%
19-12
ATS
56%
18-14
58%
18-13
69%
22-10
61%
19-12
TTL
53%
17-15
65%
20-11
100%
32-0
100%
31-0