AI Model Win Probability
SPARTANS
100%
CORNHUSKERS
0%
SPARTANS
--
CORNHUSKERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
108.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
NEBRASKA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Nebraska)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NEB -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NEB)
UPST By 1-7 points
23.0%
UPST By 8-14 points
12.2%
NEB By 1-7 points
26.8%
NEB By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
South Carolina Upstate
53
SOUTH CAROLINA UPSTATE
Nebraska
55
NEBRASKA
Simulated Score
South Carolina Upstate
65
SOUTH CAROLINA UPSTATE
Nebraska
78
NEBRASKA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cornhuskers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cornhuskers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cornhuskers (+25.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim
Cornhuskers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u157.5
Win
Proj Total: 108.0
D
Sim
u157.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 29, 2025
UPST @ NEB
63 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+21.4% more
Nebraska: 19.6
vs
South Carolina Upstate: 16.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.2%
Nebraska: 75.6%
vs
South Carolina Upstate: 68.3%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.0%
Nebraska: 47.8%
vs
South Carolina Upstate: 45.8%
Blocks (L5)
+67.2% more
South Carolina Upstate: 7.1
vs
Nebraska: 2.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UPST Score
53.0
63
NEB Score
55.0
72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.7 / 33.6
27.0 / 34.0
Assists
19.6 / 16.1
15.0 / 11.0
Blocks
2.3 / 7.1
5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
47.8 / 45.8
42.0 / 36.0
Free Throw %
75.6 / 68.3
78.0 / 38.0
Rebounding
36.2 / 37.1
45.0 / 36.0
Steals
6.7 / 7.0
8.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
9.5 / 12.5
13.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UPST
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: 0.6
ATS +/-: -0.6
NEB
Advantage
28-7-0
(80.0%)
Margin: 10.8
ATS +/-: +2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UPST
13-16-0
(44.8%)
Margin: 0.6
ATS +/-: -0.6
NEB
Advantage
19-15-1
(55.9%)
Margin: 10.8
ATS +/-: +2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
UPST
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -3.5
NEB
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6%
Total +/-: -6.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NEB
UPST
NEB
UPST
ML
51%
18-17
61%
19-12
62%
21-13
83%
25-5
ATS
54%
19-16
61%
19-12
62%
21-13
83%
25-5
TTL
63%
22-13
52%
16-15
100%
34-0
100%
30-0