AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
0%
CRIMSON
100%
BULLDOGS
--
CRIMSON
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
119.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
BRYANT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Bryant)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BRY -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BRY)
BRY By 1-7 points
26.2%
BRY By 8-14 points
16.9%
HARV By 1-7 points
24.3%
HARV By 8-14 points
13.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Bryant
60
BRYANT
Harvard
59
HARVARD
Simulated Score
Bryant
72
BRYANT
Harvard
75
HARVARD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bulldogs
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Crimson
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bulldogs (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Crimson (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 119.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 29, 2025
BRY @ HARV
53 - 56
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+52.3% more
Bryant: 4.0
vs
Harvard: 1.9
Rebounding (L5)
+24.4% more
Bryant: 37.8
vs
Harvard: 28.6
Turnovers (L5)
+21.8% more
Bryant: 14.8
vs
Harvard: 11.6
Steals (L5)
+10.3% more
Harvard: 6.7
vs
Bryant: 6.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BRY Score
60.0
53
HARV Score
59.0
56
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.9 / 27.2
32.0 / 32.0
Assists
15.0 / 13.9
13.0 / 12.0
Blocks
1.9 / 4.0
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
47.0 / 39.8
41.0 / 33.0
Free Throw %
83.5 / 74.9
100.0 / 86.0
Rebounding
28.6 / 37.8
40.0 / 34.0
Steals
6.7 / 6.1
7.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
11.6 / 14.8
10.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BRY
9-22-0
(29.0%)
Margin: -7.6
ATS +/-: -4.2
HARV
Advantage
17-12-0
(58.6%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: +2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BRY
11-18-0
(37.9%)
Margin: -7.6
ATS +/-: -4.2
HARV
Advantage
12-13-1
(48.0%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: +2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
BRY
12-17-0
O: 41.4% / U: 58.6%
Total +/-: -1.7
HARV
9-17-0
O: 34.6% / U: 65.4%
Total +/-: -4.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HARV
BRY
HARV
BRY
ML
45%
13-16
70%
21-9
52%
15-14
80%
24-6
ATS
45%
13-16
73%
22-8
52%
15-14
80%
24-6
TTL
41%
12-17
67%
20-10
100%
29-0
100%
30-0