Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bisons @ Redhawks LIP @ SEMO

LIPSCOMB

BISONSLIP

3-4  |  Road

88
FINAL
Sat, Nov 29 • 3:00 PM ET
Show Me Center
View Odds Details →

SOUTHEAST MISSOURI STATE

REDHAWKSSEMO

2-5  |  Home

77
AI Model Win Probability
BISONS
0%
📊
REDHAWKS
100%
BISONS --
REDHAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
118.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
LIPSCOMB
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Lipscomb)
BisonsLIP (-3.5) 0 RedhawksSEMO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bisons Cover

72.6%

Redhawks Cover

27.4%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LIP -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LIP)

LIP By 1-7 points

26.8%

LIP By 8-14 points

24.3%

SEMO By 1-7 points

16.9%

SEMO By 8-14 points

6.8%

AI Model Projected Score
62
LIPSCOMB
56
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI STATE
Simulated Score
69
LIPSCOMB
72
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Bisons Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Redhawks Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Bisons (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim Redhawks (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 118.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 29, 2025 LIP @ SEMO 88 - 77
Dec 5, 2024 SEMO @ LIP 60 - 78
Dec 9, 2020 SEMO @ LIP 74 - 80
Dec 7, 2020 LIP @ SEMO 77 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +39.8% more
Lipscomb: 10.3 vs Southeast Missouri State: 6.2
Assists (L5) +30.7% more
Lipscomb: 19.0 vs Southeast Missouri State: 13.2
Turnovers (L5) +16.9% more
Lipscomb: 13.5 vs Southeast Missouri State: 11.2
Rebounding (L5) +13.1% more
Lipscomb: 37.8 vs Southeast Missouri State: 32.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LIP Score 62.0 88
SEMO Score 56.0 77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 26.7 / 39.4 22.0 / 44.0
Assists 13.2 / 19.0 8.0 / 20.0
Blocks 3.6 / 2.7 1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 45.9 / 45.3 41.0 / 50.0
Free Throw % 65.6 / 70.6 77.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 32.9 / 37.8 39.0 / 32.0
Steals 6.2 / 10.3 2.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 11.2 / 13.5 17.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
30%MONEY70%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
49%MONEY51%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
31%TICKETS69%
26%MONEY74%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LIP
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
SEMO Advantage
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LIP
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
SEMO
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
LIP
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.9
SEMO
13-17-0
O: 43.3% / U: 56.7% Total +/-: -2.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEMO
LIP
SEMO
LIP
ML
64% 21-12
71% 22-9
50% 15-15
66% 19-10
ATS
67% 22-11
71% 22-9
50% 15-15
66% 19-10
TTL
58% 19-14
58% 18-13
100% 30-0
100% 29-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
ACC Commissioner Jim Phillips Shrugs Off Realignment Buzz, Decla…
observer_reporter 2 days, 1 hour ago
John Calipari Clarifies Stance on Player Compensation After Vira…
sportingnews 5 days, 21 hours ago
Calipari Drops Stunner: Nine Arkansas Players Outearn Assistant …
yahoo 1 week ago
Princeton Basketball Standout A'mire Gill Pledges to Miami (Ohio…
yahoo 1 week, 4 days ago
Georgia's Ground Game Shakeup: Bowens, Phillips Ready to Step Up…
si 2 weeks ago