Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Spartans @ Wildcats NORF @ ARIZ

NORFOLK STATE

SPARTANSNORF

4-4  |  Road

61
FINAL
Sat, Nov 29 • 4:00 PM ET
McKale Memorial Center
View Odds Details →

ARIZONA

WILDCATSARIZ

6-0  |  Home

98
AI Model Win Probability
SPARTANS
100%
📊
WILDCATS
0%
SPARTANS --
WILDCATS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
150.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-30.0
ARIZONA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +30.0 points (Arizona)
SpartansNORF (-3.5) 0 WildcatsARIZ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Spartans Cover

0.1%

Wildcats Cover

99.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ARIZ -30.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ARIZ)

NORF By 1-7 points

0.1%

NORF By 8-14 points

0.0%

ARIZ By 1-7 points

1.1%

ARIZ By 8-14 points

4.8%

AI Model Projected Score
60
NORFOLK STATE
90
ARIZONA
Simulated Score
59
NORFOLK STATE
88
ARIZONA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wildcats Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wildcats Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wildcats (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -30.0
D
Sim Wildcats (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -29.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 29, 2025 NORF @ ARIZ 61 - 98
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +53.6% more
Arizona: 13.1 vs Norfolk State: 8.5
Assists (L5) +29.5% more
Arizona: 18.9 vs Norfolk State: 14.6
Rebounding (L5) +9.1% more
Arizona: 43.6 vs Norfolk State: 39.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +8.4%
Arizona: 36.8% vs Norfolk State: 28.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NORF Score 60.0 61
ARIZ Score 90.0 98
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.8 / 28.4 18.0 / 31.0
Assists 18.9 / 14.6 20.0 / 12.0
Blocks 4.3 / 4.1 5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 51.2 / 49.9 56.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 65.4 / 68.0 70.0 / 22.0
Rebounding 43.6 / 39.9 44.0 / 27.0
Steals 7.2 / 7.5 12.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 13.1 / 8.5 10.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
17%TICKETS83%
15%MONEY85%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
86%TICKETS14%
96%MONEY4%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NORF
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 2.6 ATS +/-: -1.0
ARIZ Advantage
36-3-0 (92.3%)
Margin: 16.8 ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NORF
13-15-0 (46.4%)
Margin: 2.6 ATS +/-: -1.0
ARIZ Advantage
23-15-1 (60.5%)
Margin: 16.8 ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
NORF
19-9-0
O: 67.9% / U: 32.1% Total +/-: +4.6
ARIZ
20-19-0
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7% Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ARIZ
NORF
ARIZ
NORF
ML
67% 26-13
67% 20-10
68% 23-11
71% 20-8
ATS
74% 29-10
63% 19-11
68% 23-11
72% 21-8
TTL
56% 22-17
60% 18-12
100% 34-0
100% 29-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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