MANHATTAN
JASPERSMAN
3-5 | Road
78
ARMY
BLACK KNIGHTSARMY
3-6 | Home
81
AI Model Win Probability
JASPERS
0%
BLACK KNIGHTS
100%
JASPERS
--
BLACK KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
176.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
MANHATTAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Manhattan)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MAN -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MAN)
MAN By 1-7 points
16.9%
MAN By 8-14 points
26.2%
ARMY By 1-7 points
5.8%
ARMY By 8-14 points
1.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Manhattan
95
MANHATTAN
Army
81
ARMY
Simulated Score
Manhattan
69
MANHATTAN
Army
72
ARMY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Jaspers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Black Knights
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Jaspers (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim
Black Knights (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 176.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 29, 2025
MAN @ ARMY
78 - 81
Nov 22, 2024
ARMY @ MAN
79 - 80
Nov 26, 2022
ARMY @ MAN
71 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+75.8% more
Manhattan: 3.1
vs
Army: 0.8
Steals (L5)
+48.6% more
Manhattan: 8.0
vs
Army: 4.1
Assists (L5)
+22.4% more
Manhattan: 14.6
vs
Army: 11.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+10.8%
Manhattan: 40.8%
vs
Army: 30.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MAN Score
95.0
78
ARMY Score
81.0
81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.0 / 40.8
47.0 / 32.0
Assists
11.4 / 14.6
20.0 / 9.0
Blocks
0.8 / 3.1
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
39.7 / 44.6
45.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
72.0 / 71.6
100.0 / 88.0
Rebounding
35.8 / 31.1
41.0 / 34.0
Steals
4.1 / 8.0
7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
11.0 / 11.8
15.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MAN
Advantage
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -4.9
ATS +/-: -3.1
ARMY
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MAN
11-19-1
(36.7%)
Margin: -4.9
ATS +/-: -3.1
ARMY
Advantage
12-18-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
MAN
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: +2.4
ARMY
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ARMY
MAN
ARMY
MAN
ML
44%
14-18
52%
16-15
50%
16-16
68%
21-10
ATS
44%
14-18
52%
16-15
50%
16-16
69%
22-10
TTL
81%
26-6
77%
24-7
100%
32-0
100%
32-0
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