CALIFORNIA BAPTIST
LANCERSCBU
6-0 | Road
75
OREGON STATE
BEAVERSORST
3-4 | Home
69
AI Model Win Probability
LANCERS
0%
BEAVERS
100%
LANCERS
--
BEAVERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
124.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-26.0
CALIFORNIA BAPTIST
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +26.0 points (California Baptist)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CBU -26.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CBU)
CBU By 1-7 points
2.7%
CBU By 8-14 points
9.3%
ORST By 1-7 points
0.4%
ORST By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
California Baptist
75
CALIFORNIA BAPTIST
Oregon State
49
OREGON STATE
Simulated Score
California Baptist
65
CALIFORNIA BAPTIST
Oregon State
72
OREGON STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Lancers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Beavers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Lancers (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -26.0
D
Sim
Beavers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 124.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 29, 2025
CBU @ ORST
75 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+20.0% more
California Baptist: 8.1
vs
Oregon State: 6.5
Rebounding (L5)
+19.1% more
California Baptist: 41.8
vs
Oregon State: 33.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.2%
California Baptist: 34.6%
vs
Oregon State: 30.5%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.1%
California Baptist: 45.9%
vs
Oregon State: 42.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CBU Score
75.0
75
ORST Score
49.0
69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.5 / 34.6
40.0 / 38.0
Assists
13.6 / 11.2
11.0 / 12.0
Blocks
3.9 / 2.3
8.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
42.8 / 45.9
42.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
72.7 / 73.3
88.0 / 65.0
Rebounding
33.8 / 41.8
31.0 / 34.0
Steals
6.5 / 8.1
2.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
14.2 / 14.6
12.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CBU
Advantage
25-9-0
(73.5%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +1.5
ORST
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CBU
Advantage
20-14-0
(58.8%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +1.5
ORST
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
CBU
12-22-0
O: 35.3% / U: 64.7%
Total +/-: -4.1
ORST
19-14-0
O: 57.6% / U: 42.4%
Total +/-: +1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORST
CBU
ORST
CBU
ML
45%
15-18
50%
17-17
59%
19-13
76%
25-8
ATS
48%
16-17
53%
18-16
59%
19-13
76%
25-8
TTL
55%
18-15
47%
16-18
100%
32-0
100%
33-0
Contextual Game News
Houston Cougars Set to Host Southern Jaguars in Week 2 Clash at …
SEC Bowl Aspirations: New Coaches Face High Stakes in 2026
Apr 6, 2026; Indianapolis, IN, USA; UConn Huskies head coach Dan…
Dave Portnoy baffled 'worst of the worst' ESPN star still has jo…
Oregon State Announces Men's Soccer Schedule