PEPPERDINE
WAVESPEPP
3-5 | Road
69
CAL STATE FULLERTON
TITANSCSUF
3-5 | Home
83
AI Model Win Probability
WAVES
0%
TITANS
100%
WAVES
--
TITANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
148.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
PEPPERDINE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Pepperdine)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PEPP -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PEPP)
PEPP By 1-7 points
10.7%
PEPP By 8-14 points
21.6%
CSUF By 1-7 points
2.7%
CSUF By 8-14 points
0.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Pepperdine
83
PEPPERDINE
Cal State Fullerton
65
CAL STATE FULLERTON
Simulated Score
Pepperdine
68
PEPPERDINE
Cal State Fullerton
72
CAL STATE FULLERTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Waves
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Titans
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Waves (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim
Titans (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u161.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Sim
u161.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 29, 2025
PEPP @ CSUF
69 - 83
Nov 26, 2024
CSUF @ PEPP
72 - 63
Dec 6, 2023
CSUF @ PEPP
60 - 55
Nov 11, 2022
PEPP @ CSUF
71 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+45.6% more
Pepperdine: 4.1
vs
Cal State Fullerton: 2.2
Turnovers (L5)
+30.8% more
Pepperdine: 13.1
vs
Cal State Fullerton: 9.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.9%
Pepperdine: 79.0%
vs
Cal State Fullerton: 71.1%
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.0%
Cal State Fullerton: 44.2%
vs
Pepperdine: 39.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PEPP Score
83.0
69
CSUF Score
65.0
83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.9 / 28.5
30.0 / 24.0
Assists
14.7 / 14.3
15.0 / 14.0
Blocks
2.2 / 4.1
2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
44.2 / 39.3
48.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
71.1 / 79.0
67.0 / 88.0
Rebounding
35.1 / 37.3
40.0 / 32.0
Steals
5.5 / 5.2
7.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
9.1 / 13.1
9.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PEPP
9-23-0
(28.1%)
Margin: -7.3
ATS +/-: -0.6
CSUF
Advantage
18-16-0
(52.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-: +3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PEPP
14-16-0
(46.7%)
Margin: -7.3
ATS +/-: -0.6
CSUF
Advantage
19-11-2
(63.3%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-: +3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
PEPP
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +2.4
CSUF
13-19-0
O: 40.6% / U: 59.4%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CSUF
PEPP
CSUF
PEPP
ML
68%
23-11
62%
20-12
76%
26-8
69%
22-10
ATS
68%
23-11
56%
18-14
76%
26-8
69%
22-10
TTL
59%
20-14
50%
16-16
100%
34-0
100%
32-0
Contextual Game News
