Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Highlanders @ Trailblazers UCR @ UTU

UC RIVERSIDE

HIGHLANDERSUCR

4-3  |  Road

69
FINAL
Sat, Nov 29 • 5:00 PM ET
Burns Arena
View Odds Details →

UTAH TECH

TRAILBLAZERSUTU

4-5  |  Home

77
AI Model Win Probability
HIGHLANDERS
0%
📊
TRAILBLAZERS
100%
HIGHLANDERS --
TRAILBLAZERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
162.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
UC RIVERSIDE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (UC Riverside)
HighlandersUCR (-3.5) 0 TrailblazersUTU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Highlanders Cover

78.8%

Trailblazers Cover

21.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UCR -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UCR)

UCR By 1-7 points

25.3%

UCR By 8-14 points

26.2%

UTU By 1-7 points

13.7%

UTU By 8-14 points

4.8%

AI Model Projected Score
85
UC RIVERSIDE
77
UTAH TECH
Simulated Score
67
UC RIVERSIDE
71
UTAH TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Highlanders Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Trailblazers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Highlanders (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim Trailblazers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 162.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 29, 2025 UCR @ UTU 69 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +21.8% more
UC Riverside: 4.5 vs Utah Tech: 3.5
Turnovers (L5) +17.6% more
UC Riverside: 15.0 vs Utah Tech: 12.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +11.5%
UC Riverside: 38.7% vs Utah Tech: 27.2%
Field Goal % (L5) +3.3%
UC Riverside: 49.7% vs Utah Tech: 46.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UCR Score 85.0 69
UTU Score 77.0 77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 27.2 / 38.7 40.0 / 26.0
Assists 13.9 / 12.8 14.0 / 8.0
Blocks 3.5 / 4.5 0.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 46.4 / 49.7 53.0 / 50.0
Free Throw % 74.4 / 74.3 83.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 33.0 / 34.6 25.0 / 26.0
Steals 7.3 / 5.2 6.0 / 2.0
Turnovers 12.4 / 15.0 7.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
8%TICKETS92%
30%MONEY70%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
29%MONEY71%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
36%MONEY64%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UCR
10-22-0 (31.3%)
Margin: -4.9 ATS +/-: +0.4
UTU Advantage
19-15-0 (55.9%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: +1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UCR
14-14-2 (50.0%)
Margin: -4.9 ATS +/-: +0.4
UTU Advantage
19-12-0 (61.3%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: +1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
UCR
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +1.3
UTU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +4.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTU
UCR
UTU
UCR
ML
68% 23-11
66% 21-11
62% 21-13
75% 24-8
ATS
65% 22-12
59% 19-13
62% 21-13
75% 24-8
TTL
65% 22-12
66% 21-11
100% 34-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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