Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Titans @ Purple Eagles DETM @ NIA

DETROIT MERCY

TITANSDETM

2-6  |  Road

70
FINAL
Sat, Nov 29 • 1:00 PM ET
Gallagher Center
View Odds Details →

NIAGARA

PURPLE EAGLESNIA

2-5  |  Home

66
AI Model Win Probability
TITANS
0%
📊
PURPLE EAGLES
100%
TITANS --
PURPLE EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
DETROIT MERCY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Detroit Mercy)
TitansDETM (-3.5) 0 Purple EaglesNIA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Titans Cover

78.8%

Purple Eagles Cover

21.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DETM -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DETM)

DETM By 1-7 points

25.3%

DETM By 8-14 points

26.2%

NIA By 1-7 points

13.7%

NIA By 8-14 points

4.8%

AI Model Projected Score
77
DETROIT MERCY
69
NIAGARA
Simulated Score
68
DETROIT MERCY
73
NIAGARA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Titans Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Purple Eagles Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Titans (+1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim Purple Eagles (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o142.5 Loss
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim u142.5 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 29, 2025 DETM @ NIA 70 - 66
Nov 10, 2024 NIA @ DETM 78 - 84
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +15.9% more
Detroit Mercy: 34.0 vs Niagara: 28.6
Free Throw % (L5) +11.6%
Detroit Mercy: 80.3% vs Niagara: 68.8%
Steals (L5) +10.6% more
Detroit Mercy: 5.7 vs Niagara: 5.1
Assists (L5) +8.5% more
Detroit Mercy: 12.2 vs Niagara: 11.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DETM Score 77.0 70
NIA Score 69.0 66
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.3 / 29.2 25.0 / 18.0
Assists 11.2 / 12.2 18.0 / 11.0
Blocks 3.2 / 2.0 2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 41.2 / 41.5 45.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 68.8 / 80.3 64.0 / 77.0
Rebounding 28.6 / 34.0 27.0 / 43.0
Steals 5.1 / 5.7 2.0 / 2.0
Turnovers 15.9 / 12.8 8.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
57%MONEY43%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
64%MONEY36%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
24%MONEY76%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DETM Advantage
17-15-0 (53.1%)
Margin: -0.1 ATS +/-: +3.7
NIA
8-22-0 (26.7%)
Margin: -7.4 ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DETM Advantage
20-9-1 (69.0%)
Margin: -0.1 ATS +/-: +3.7
NIA
13-16-0 (44.8%)
Margin: -7.4 ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
DETM
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: +0.3
NIA
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NIA
DETM
NIA
DETM
ML
55% 16-13
58% 18-13
72% 21-8
50% 15-15
ATS
69% 20-9
61% 19-12
72% 21-8
50% 15-15
TTL
55% 16-13
61% 19-12
100% 29-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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