Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Colonels @ Green Wave NICH @ TULN

NICHOLLS

COLONELSNICH

0-5  |  Road

72
FINAL
Fri, Nov 28 • 3:00 PM ET
Devlin Fieldhouse
View Odds Details →

TULANE

GREEN WAVETULN

4-2  |  Home

82
AI Model Win Probability
COLONELS
100%
📊
GREEN WAVE
0%
COLONELS --
GREEN WAVE --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
85.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
TULANE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Tulane)
ColonelsNICH (-3.5) 0 Green WaveTULN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Colonels Cover

9.7%

Green Wave Cover

90.3%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TULN -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TULN)

NICH By 1-7 points

6.8%

NICH By 8-14 points

1.7%

TULN By 1-7 points

18.6%

TULN By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
36
NICHOLLS
49
TULANE
Simulated Score
65
NICHOLLS
78
TULANE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Green Wave Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Green Wave Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Green Wave (+8.5) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim Green Wave (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u148.5 Loss
Proj Total: 85.0
D
Sim u148.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 28, 2025 NICH @ TULN 72 - 82
Nov 6, 2023 NICH @ TULN 81 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +51.0% more
Tulane: 4.0 vs Nicholls: 2.6
Free Throw % (L5) +7.4%
Tulane: 75.5% vs Nicholls: 68.1%
Field Goal % (L5) +5.7%
Tulane: 45.8% vs Nicholls: 40.1%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.4%
Tulane: 32.8% vs Nicholls: 29.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NICH Score 36.0 72
TULN Score 49.0 82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.8 / 29.4 36.0 / 43.0
Assists 10.9 / 13.3 20.0 / 15.0
Blocks 4.0 / 2.6 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 45.8 / 40.1 52.0 / 49.0
Free Throw % 75.5 / 68.1 68.0 / 42.0
Rebounding 29.4 / 33.0 34.0 / 33.0
Steals 6.4 / 9.4 7.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 9.3 / 14.4 12.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
1%TICKETS99%
3%MONEY97%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
15%TICKETS85%
32%MONEY68%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
55%MONEY45%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NICH
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -2.5 ATS +/-: -0.3
TULN Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: -2.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NICH
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -2.5 ATS +/-: -0.3
TULN
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: -2.7
⚖️ Over/Under
NICH
17-15-0
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9% Total +/-: +1.4
TULN
13-18-1
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: -1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TULN
NICH
TULN
NICH
ML
70% 23-10
53% 17-15
47% 15-17
68% 19-9
ATS
62% 20-12-1
47% 15-17
47% 15-17
68% 19-9
TTL
55% 18-15
56% 18-14
100% 32-0
100% 28-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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