AI Model Win Probability
HIGHLANDERS
100%
EAGLES
0%
HIGHLANDERS
--
EAGLES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
134.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
EASTERN MICHIGAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Eastern Michigan)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around EMU -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EMU)
NJIT By 1-7 points
8.0%
NJIT By 8-14 points
2.2%
EMU By 1-7 points
20.1%
EMU By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
NJIT
61
NJIT
Eastern Michigan
73
EASTERN MICHIGAN
Simulated Score
NJIT
68
NJIT
Eastern Michigan
75
EASTERN MICHIGAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Eagles
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Eagles
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Eagles (+15.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim
Eagles (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u141.5
Win
Proj Total: 134.0
D
Sim
u141.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 28, 2025
NJIT @ EMU
55 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+61.7% more
Eastern Michigan: 6.6
vs
NJIT: 4.1
Assists (L5)
+40.1% more
Eastern Michigan: 12.5
vs
NJIT: 8.9
Rebounding (L5)
+14.4% more
Eastern Michigan: 36.2
vs
NJIT: 31.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+12.8%
Eastern Michigan: 78.2%
vs
NJIT: 65.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NJIT Score
61.0
55
EMU Score
73.0
73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.4 / 30.5
39.0 / 35.0
Assists
12.5 / 8.9
14.0 / 10.0
Blocks
2.6 / 2.9
7.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
42.8 / 35.0
50.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
78.2 / 65.4
67.0 / 82.0
Rebounding
36.2 / 31.7
33.0 / 32.0
Steals
6.6 / 4.1
13.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
14.0 / 14.1
13.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NJIT
Advantage
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: +1.2
EMU
10-21-0
(32.3%)
Margin: -2.8
ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NJIT
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: +1.2
EMU
Advantage
20-10-0
(66.7%)
Margin: -2.8
ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
NJIT
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3%
Total +/-: -2.5
EMU
9-21-0
O: 30.0% / U: 70.0%
Total +/-: -3.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EMU
NJIT
EMU
NJIT
ML
65%
20-11
78%
25-7
70%
21-9
62%
20-12
ATS
65%
20-11
72%
23-9
70%
21-9
62%
20-12
TTL
71%
22-9
47%
15-17
100%
30-0
100%
32-0