Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Buccaneers @ Gamecocks CHSO @ SC

CHARLESTON SOUTHERN

BUCCANEERSCHSO

5-4  |  Road

62
FINAL
Fri, Nov 28 • 4:00 PM ET
Colonial Life Arena
View Odds Details →

SOUTH CAROLINA

GAMECOCKSSC

5-2  |  Home

74
AI Model Win Probability
BUCCANEERS
100%
📊
GAMECOCKS
0%
BUCCANEERS --
GAMECOCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
226.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
SOUTH CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (South Carolina)
BuccaneersCHSO (-3.5) 0 GamecocksSC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Buccaneers Cover

42.1%

Gamecocks Cover

57.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SC -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SC)

CHSO By 1-7 points

23.0%

CHSO By 8-14 points

12.2%

SC By 1-7 points

26.8%

SC By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
112
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
114
SOUTH CAROLINA
Simulated Score
58
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
78
SOUTH CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Gamecocks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Gamecocks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Gamecocks (+17.5) Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim Gamecocks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o150.5 Loss
Proj Total: 226.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 28, 2025 CHSO @ SC 62 - 74
Dec 16, 2023 CHSO @ SC 69 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +59.9% more
South Carolina: 6.4 vs Charleston Southern: 4.0
Free Throw % (L5) +4.1%
South Carolina: 74.3% vs Charleston Southern: 70.2%
Blocks (L5) +60.0% more
Charleston Southern: 4.7 vs South Carolina: 1.9
Turnovers (L5) +37.7% more
Charleston Southern: 14.5 vs South Carolina: 9.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHSO Score 112.0 62
SC Score 114.0 74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.1 / 37.9 21.0 / 23.0
Assists 16.0 / 18.9 10.0 / 12.0
Blocks 1.9 / 4.7 3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 45.2 / 45.2 42.0 / 36.0
Free Throw % 74.3 / 70.2 76.0 / 63.0
Rebounding 33.5 / 44.4 37.0 / 43.0
Steals 6.4 / 4.0 5.0 / 2.0
Turnovers 9.0 / 14.5 5.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
10%MONEY90%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
39%MONEY61%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
72%MONEY28%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHSO Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 3.3 ATS +/-: +2.0
SC
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHSO Advantage
14-15-0 (48.3%)
Margin: 3.3 ATS +/-: +2.0
SC
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
CHSO
19-10-0
O: 65.5% / U: 34.5% Total +/-: +4.6
SC
14-16-2
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: +1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SC
CHSO
SC
CHSO
ML
72% 23-9
43% 13-17
68% 21-10
67% 20-10
ATS
69% 22-10
50% 15-15
68% 21-10
68% 21-10
TTL
50% 16-16
50% 15-15
100% 31-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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