Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Royals @ Cavaliers QUC @ UVA

QUEENS UNIVERSITY

ROYALSQUC

3-5  |  Road

69
FINAL
Fri, Nov 28 • 4:00 PM ET
John Paul Jones Arena
View Odds Details →

VIRGINIA

CAVALIERSUVA

6-1  |  Home

94
AI Model Win Probability
ROYALS
100%
📊
CAVALIERS
0%
ROYALS --
CAVALIERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
173.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
VIRGINIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Virginia)
RoyalsQUC (-3.5) 0 CavaliersUVA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Royals Cover

9.7%

Cavaliers Cover

90.3%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UVA -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UVA)

QUC By 1-7 points

6.8%

QUC By 8-14 points

1.7%

UVA By 1-7 points

18.6%

UVA By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
80
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
93
VIRGINIA
Simulated Score
45
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
68
VIRGINIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cavaliers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cavaliers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cavaliers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim Cavaliers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 173.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 113.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 28, 2025 QUC @ UVA 69 - 94
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +124.1% more
Virginia: 7.5 vs Queens University: 3.4
Steals (L5) +54.3% more
Virginia: 6.3 vs Queens University: 4.1
Rebounding (L5) +26.1% more
Virginia: 41.9 vs Queens University: 33.2
Assists (L5) +32.8% more
Queens University: 17.3 vs Virginia: 11.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
QUC Score 80.0 69
UVA Score 93.0 94
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.8 / 39.1 45.0 / 31.0
Assists 11.7 / 17.3 24.0 / 12.0
Blocks 7.5 / 3.4 8.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 44.1 / 48.4 53.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 65.9 / 81.1 68.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 41.9 / 33.2 41.0 / 35.0
Steals 6.3 / 4.1 7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 10.0 / 9.5 8.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
28%TICKETS72%
43%MONEY57%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
22%TICKETS78%
46%MONEY54%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
QUC
21-14-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: +0.6
UVA Advantage
30-6-0 (83.3%)
Margin: 11.6 ATS +/-: +1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
QUC
14-19-1 (42.4%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: +0.6
UVA Advantage
17-17-2 (50.0%)
Margin: 11.6 ATS +/-: +1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
QUC
22-12-0
O: 64.7% / U: 35.3% Total +/-: +5.9
UVA
17-19-0
O: 47.2% / U: 52.8% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UVA
QUC
UVA
QUC
ML
67% 24-12
71% 25-10
72% 26-10
71% 24-10
ATS
75% 27-9
86% 30-5
72% 26-10
71% 24-10
TTL
53% 19-17
47% 16-18-1
100% 36-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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