Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Islanders @ Musketeers AMCC @ XAV

TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI

ISLANDERSAMCC

2-4  |  Road

67
FINAL
Fri, Nov 28 • 5:30 PM ET
Cintas Center
View Odds Details →

XAVIER

MUSKETEERSXAV

4-3  |  Home

88
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
0%
📊
MUSKETEERS
100%
ISLANDERS --
MUSKETEERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
114.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Texas A&M-Corpus Christi)
IslandersAMCC (-3.5) 0 MusketeersXAV (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Islanders Cover

65.5%

Musketeers Cover

34.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around AMCC -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AMCC)

AMCC By 1-7 points

27.4%

AMCC By 8-14 points

21.6%

XAV By 1-7 points

20.1%

XAV By 8-14 points

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
59
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
55
XAVIER
Simulated Score
62
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
85
XAVIER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Islanders Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Musketeers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Islanders (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim Musketeers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 114.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 28, 2025 AMCC @ XAV 67 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +35.5% more
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 15.1 vs Xavier: 9.7
Steals (L5) +29.9% more
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 10.0 vs Xavier: 7.0
Blocks (L5) +14.5% more
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 3.7 vs Xavier: 3.1
Field Goal % (L5) +5.9%
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 48.1% vs Xavier: 42.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
AMCC Score 59.0 67
XAV Score 55.0 88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 45.2 / 33.1 43.0 / 27.0
Assists 17.0 / 17.7 26.0 / 19.0
Blocks 3.1 / 3.7 7.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 42.2 / 48.1 46.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 77.9 / 70.1 58.0 / 55.0
Rebounding 35.3 / 37.2 42.0 / 41.0
Steals 7.0 / 10.0 6.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 9.7 / 15.1 5.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
29%MONEY71%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
26%TICKETS74%
45%MONEY55%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
83%MONEY17%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
AMCC Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 4.8 ATS +/-: +1.7
XAV
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: -2.3 ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
AMCC Advantage
16-13-0 (55.2%)
Margin: 4.8 ATS +/-: +1.7
XAV
16-17-0 (48.5%)
Margin: -2.3 ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
AMCC
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: -2.3
XAV
25-8-0
O: 75.8% / U: 24.2% Total +/-: +6.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
XAV
AMCC
XAV
AMCC
ML
58% 19-14
70% 21-9
72% 23-9
67% 18-9
ATS
73% 24-9
67% 20-10
72% 23-9
67% 18-9
TTL
39% 13-20
60% 18-12
100% 32-0
100% 27-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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