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NORTH CAROLINA A&T

AGGIESNCAT

3-1  |  Road

74
FINAL
Fri, Nov 28 • 4:00 PM ET
John M. Belk Arena
View Odds Details →

DAVIDSON

WILDCATSDAV

5-1  |  Home

90
AI Model Win Probability
AGGIES
0%
📊
WILDCATS
100%
AGGIES --
WILDCATS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
NORTH CAROLINA A&T
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (North Carolina A&T)
AggiesNCAT (-3.5) 0 WildcatsDAV (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Aggies Cover

75.8%

Wildcats Cover

24.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NCAT -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NCAT)

NCAT By 1-7 points

26.2%

NCAT By 8-14 points

25.3%

DAV By 1-7 points

15.3%

DAV By 8-14 points

5.8%

AI Model Projected Score
78
NORTH CAROLINA A&T
71
DAVIDSON
Simulated Score
60
NORTH CAROLINA A&T
75
DAVIDSON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Aggies Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wildcats Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Aggies (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Wildcats (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 28, 2025 NCAT @ DAV 74 - 90
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +25.5% more
North Carolina A&T: 39.5 vs Davidson: 29.5
Assists (L5) +17.2% more
North Carolina A&T: 14.3 vs Davidson: 11.9
Blocks (L5) +10.7% more
Davidson: 3.7 vs North Carolina A&T: 3.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +5.3%
Davidson: 33.7% vs North Carolina A&T: 28.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NCAT Score 78.0 74
DAV Score 71.0 90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.7 / 28.5 47.0 / 47.0
Assists 11.9 / 14.3 16.0 / 8.0
Blocks 3.7 / 3.4 3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 45.6 / 46.4 56.0 / 51.0
Free Throw % 71.2 / 70.8 57.0 / 60.0
Rebounding 29.5 / 39.5 35.0 / 29.0
Steals 6.7 / 7.2 6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 13.8 / 14.0 6.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NCAT
11-19-0 (36.7%)
Margin: -2.8 ATS +/-: +1.5
DAV Advantage
20-14-0 (58.8%)
Margin: 4.1 ATS +/-: +0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NCAT Advantage
16-12-0 (57.1%)
Margin: -2.8 ATS +/-: +1.5
DAV
13-17-2 (43.3%)
Margin: 4.1 ATS +/-: +0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
NCAT
16-12-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9% Total +/-: +3.6
DAV
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3% Total +/-: -2.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAV
NCAT
DAV
NCAT
ML
64% 21-12
52% 14-13
58% 19-14
63% 17-10
ATS
48% 16-17
63% 17-10
58% 19-14
64% 18-10
TTL
52% 17-16
69% 18-8-1
100% 33-0
100% 28-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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