Home / NHL Projections NHL / Rangers @ Bruins NYR @ BOS

NEW YORK

RANGERSNYR

12-11-2  |  Road

6
FINAL
Fri, Nov 28 • 1:00 PM ET
TD Garden
View Odds Details →

BOSTON

BRUINSBOS

14-11-0  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Joonas Korpisalo
GOALTENDER

Joonas Korpisalo

#70 | Goaltender
@
Nikita Zadorov
GOALTENDER

Nikita Zadorov

#91 | Defense
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Joonas Korpisalo None-None 5.05 0.861 --
Nikita Zadorov None-None -- -- --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
5.05 GAA --
0.861 Save % --
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
100%
📊
BRUINS
0%
RANGERS --
BRUINS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Boston)
RangersNYR (-3.5) 0 BruinsBOS (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rangers Cover

30.9%

Bruins Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BOS -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)

NYR By 1 goal

12.1%

NYR By 2-3 goals

9.3%

BOS By 1 goal

19.7%

BOS By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3
NEW YORK
4
BOSTON
Simulated Score
2
NEW YORK
3
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bruins Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bruins Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bruins (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Bruins (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 29, 2026 NYR @ BOS 0 - 3
Jan 26, 2026 BOS @ NYR 3 - 4
Jan 10, 2026 NYR @ BOS 2 - 10
Nov 28, 2025 NYR @ BOS 6 - 2
Oct 4, 2025 NYR @ BOS 1 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +26.0% more
Boston: 25.5 vs New York: 20.3
Blocked Shots (L5) +13.0% more
New York: 17.0 vs Boston: 14.8
Hits (L5) +9.5% more
New York: 30.5 vs Boston: 27.6
Takeaways (L5) +9.3% more
New York: 4.2 vs Boston: 3.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NYR Score 3.0 6
BOS Score 4.0 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 14.8 / 17.0 9.0 / 16.0
Faceoff % 49.4 / 54.4 44.6 / 55.4
Hits 27.6 / 30.5 25.0 / 34.0
Power Play % 16.5 / 15.1 0.0 / 66.7
Shots on Goal 25.5 / 20.3 21.0 / 37.0
Takeaways 3.8 / 4.2 3.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
40%MONEY60%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
16%TICKETS84%
57%MONEY43%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
75%MONEY25%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
NYR
BOS
NYR
ML
50% 2-2
80% 4-1
50% 2-2
40% 2-3
ATS
50% 2-2
80% 4-1
50% 2-2
60% 3-2
TTL
75% 3-1
60% 3-2
0% 0-4
60% 3-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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