Home / NHL Projections NHL / Senators @ Blues OTT @ STL

OTTAWA

SENATORSOTT

12-7-4  |  Road

3
FINAL
Fri, Nov 28 • 4:00 PM ET
Enterprise Center
View Odds Details →

ST. LOUIS

BLUESSTL

7-10-7  |  Home

4
Goaltending
Artem Zub
GOALTENDER

Artem Zub

#2 | Defense
@
Jordan Binnington
GOALTENDER

Jordan Binnington

#50 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Artem Zub None-None -- -- --
Jordan Binnington None-None 3.02 0.893 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 3.02
-- Save % 0.893
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
SENATORS
0%
📊
BLUES
100%
SENATORS --
BLUES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
OTTAWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Ottawa)
SenatorsOTT (-3.5) 0 BluesSTL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Senators Cover

93.3%

Blues Cover

6.7%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around OTT -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OTT)

OTT By 1 goal

12.1%

OTT By 2-3 goals

37.2%

STL By 1 goal

2.8%

STL By 2-3 goals

1.2%

AI Model Projected Score
4
OTTAWA
1
ST. LOUIS
Simulated Score
2
OTTAWA
3
ST. LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Senators Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blues Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Senators (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -3.0
D
Sim Blues (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u5.5 Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 6, 2025 STL @ OTT 2 - 1
Nov 28, 2025 OTT @ STL 3 - 4
Oct 2, 2025 OTT @ STL 1 - 7
Jan 3, 2025 OTT @ STL 0 - 4
Oct 29, 2024 STL @ OTT 1 - 8
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +20.0% more
Ottawa: 23.7 vs St. Louis: 19.0
Faceoff % (L5) +9.5%
Ottawa: 59.0% vs St. Louis: 49.5%
Power Play % (L5) +2.4%
Ottawa: 19.8% vs St. Louis: 17.4%
Blocked Shots (L5) +30.6% more
St. Louis: 15.4 vs Ottawa: 11.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
OTT Score 4.0 3
STL Score 1.0 4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 15.4 / 11.8 15.0 / 17.0
Faceoff % 49.5 / 59.0 48.1 / 51.9
Hits 19.0 / 23.7 17.0 / 20.0
Power Play % 1744.0 / 1982.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 23.4 / 24.3 31.0 / 28.0
Takeaways 4.9 / 3.9 0.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
62%MONEY38%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
61%MONEY39%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
83%TICKETS17%
87%MONEY13%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STL
OTT
STL
OTT
ML
33% 1-2
0% 0-3
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
ATS
67% 2-1
0% 0-3
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
TTL
50% 1-1-1
67% 2-1
50% 1-1-1
67% 2-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
The Unexpected Cornerback the Steelers Regret Losing
si 1 hour, 41 minutes ago
Canadiens Turn to Rookie Jacob Fowler in Net Against Predators; …
yardbarker 7 hours, 40 minutes ago
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
si 7 hours, 41 minutes ago
Islanders' Blue Line Shake-Up: Three Defenders Who Must Elevate …
si 13 hours, 41 minutes ago
Dylan Larkin Scores in Return to Red Wings Lineup Amid Trade Req…
nbcsports 1 day, 7 hours ago