NEW JERSEY
DEVILSNJ
15-7-1 | Road
5
BUFFALO
SABRESBUF
9-10-4 | Home
0
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jake Allen
#34 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Alex Lyon
#34 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Allen | None-None | 0.00 | 1.000 | 1 |
| Alex Lyon | None-None | 5.00 | 0.783 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
0.00 Ldr
GAA
5.00
1.000 Ldr
Save %
0.783
1 Ldr
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
DEVILS
100%
SABRES
0%
DEVILS
--
SABRES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
BUFFALO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Buffalo)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BUF -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BUF)
NJ By 1 goal
12.1%
NJ By 2-3 goals
9.3%
BUF By 1 goal
19.7%
BUF By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
New Jersey
3
NEW JERSEY
Buffalo
4
BUFFALO
Simulated Score
New Jersey
3
NEW JERSEY
Buffalo
4
BUFFALO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Sabres
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sabres
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Sabres (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Sabres (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 25, 2026
BUF @ NJ
2 - 1
Dec 21, 2025
BUF @ NJ
3 - 1
Nov 28, 2025
NJ @ BUF
5 - 0
Feb 2, 2025
NJ @ BUF
3 - 4
Oct 5, 2024
BUF @ NJ
1 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+63.0% more
Buffalo: 6.3
vs
New Jersey: 3.9
Blocked Shots (L5)
+16.6% more
Buffalo: 17.4
vs
New Jersey: 14.9
Hits (L5)
+13.0% more
New Jersey: 23.9
vs
Buffalo: 20.8
Power Play % (L5)
+9.2%
New Jersey: 26.3%
vs
Buffalo: 17.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NJ Score
3.0
5
BUF Score
4.0
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.4 / 14.9
9.0 / 20.0
Faceoff %
45.2 / 49.8
43.9 / 56.1
Hits
20.8 / 23.9
24.0 / 20.0
Power Play %
1710.0 / 2629.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
27.6 / 28.8
42.0 / 23.0
Takeaways
6.3 / 3.9
6.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUF
NJ
BUF
NJ
ML
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
ATS
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
100%
3-0
33%
1-2
TTL
33%
1-2
0%
0-2-1
33%
1-2
50%
1-1-1
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