VANCOUVER
CANUCKSVAN
10-12-2 | Road
2
SAN JOSE
SHARKSSJ
11-10-3 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Nikita Tolopilo
#60 | G@
GOALTENDER
Yaroslav Askarov
#30 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikita Tolopilo | None-None | 3.09 | 0.875 | -- |
| Yaroslav Askarov | None-None | 2.01 | 0.941 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.09
GAA
Ldr 2.01
0.875
Save %
Ldr 0.941
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
CANUCKS
100%
SHARKS
0%
CANUCKS
--
SHARKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
SAN JOSE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (San Jose)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around SJ -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SJ)
VAN By 1 goal
12.1%
VAN By 2-3 goals
9.3%
SJ By 1 goal
19.7%
SJ By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Vancouver
2
VANCOUVER
San Jose
3
SAN JOSE
Simulated Score
Vancouver
2
VANCOUVER
San Jose
4
SAN JOSE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Sharks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sharks
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Sharks (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Sharks (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 11, 2026
VAN @ SJ
4 - 3
Jan 27, 2026
SJ @ VAN
5 - 2
Dec 27, 2025
SJ @ VAN
6 - 3
Nov 28, 2025
VAN @ SJ
2 - 3
Apr 14, 2025
SJ @ VAN
1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+28.2% more
San Jose: 22.4
vs
Vancouver: 17.4
Blocked Shots (L5)
+19.7% more
San Jose: 16.9
vs
Vancouver: 14.1
Power Play % (L5)
+22.3%
Vancouver: 31.9%
vs
San Jose: 9.7%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+9.5% more
Vancouver: 27.8
vs
San Jose: 25.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VAN Score
2.0
2
SJ Score
3.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.9 / 14.1
15.0 / 9.0
Faceoff %
47.4 / 51.3
60.6 / 39.4
Hits
22.4 / 17.4
14.0 / 17.0
Power Play %
9.7 / 31.9
33.3 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
25.1 / 27.8
24.0 / 34.0
Takeaways
4.3 / 4.4
5.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SJ
VAN
SJ
VAN
ML
25%
1-3
60%
3-2
25%
1-3
40%
2-3
ATS
25%
1-3
40%
2-3
50%
2-2
40%
2-3
TTL
25%
1-3
40%
2-3
25%
1-3
40%
2-3
Contextual Game News
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