PITTSBURGH
PENGUINSPIT
11-6-5 | Road
4
COLUMBUS
BLUE JACKETSCBJ
11-9-4 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Egor Chinakhov
#59 | Right Wing@
GOALTENDER
Jet Greaves
#73 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Egor Chinakhov | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Jet Greaves | None-None | 3.94 | 0.833 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
3.94
--
Save %
0.833
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
PENGUINS
100%
BLUE JACKETS
0%
PENGUINS
--
BLUE JACKETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
COLUMBUS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Columbus)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CBJ -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CBJ)
PIT By 1 goal
12.1%
PIT By 2-3 goals
9.3%
CBJ By 1 goal
19.7%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Pittsburgh
3
PITTSBURGH
Columbus
4
COLUMBUS
Simulated Score
Pittsburgh
2
PITTSBURGH
Columbus
4
COLUMBUS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Blue Jackets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blue Jackets
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Blue Jackets (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Blue Jackets (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 17, 2026
CBJ @ PIT
4 - 3
Jan 4, 2026
PIT @ CBJ
5 - 4
Nov 28, 2025
PIT @ CBJ
4 - 3
Oct 25, 2025
CBJ @ PIT
5 - 4
Sep 27, 2025
CBJ @ PIT
1 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+26.7% more
Columbus: 30.2
vs
Pittsburgh: 23.8
Hits (L5)
+23.3% more
Columbus: 18.3
vs
Pittsburgh: 14.9
Blocked Shots (L5)
+8.3% more
Columbus: 13.8
vs
Pittsburgh: 12.7
Faceoff % (L5)
+6.6%
Pittsburgh: 53.4%
vs
Columbus: 46.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PIT Score
3.0
4
CBJ Score
4.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.8 / 12.7
14.0 / 20.0
Faceoff %
46.8 / 53.4
50.8 / 49.2
Hits
18.3 / 14.9
16.0 / 18.0
Power Play %
907.0 / 1059.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
30.2 / 23.8
29.0 / 24.0
Takeaways
4.3 / 4.5
3.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CBJ
PIT
CBJ
PIT
ML
50%
1-1
75%
3-1
100%
2-0
25%
1-3
ATS
50%
1-1
75%
3-1
50%
1-1
75%
3-1
TTL
50%
1-1
25%
1-3
0%
0-2
50%
2-2
Contextual Game News
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