UTAH
MAMMOTHUTA
12-9-3 | Road
3
DALLAS
STARSDAL
15-5-4 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Vladislav Kolyachonok
#52 | D@
GOALTENDER
Jake Oettinger
#29 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vladislav Kolyachonok | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Jake Oettinger | None-None | 3.00 | 0.900 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
3.00
--
Save %
0.900
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
MAMMOTH
0%
STARS
100%
MAMMOTH
--
STARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Utah)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around UTA -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTA)
UTA By 1 goal
17.5%
UTA By 2-3 goals
37.2%
DAL By 1 goal
6.6%
DAL By 2-3 goals
3.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Utah
3
UTAH
Dallas
1
DALLAS
Simulated Score
Utah
2
UTAH
Dallas
4
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Mammoth
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Stars
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Mammoth (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim
Stars (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 16, 2026
UTA @ DAL
6 - 3
Jan 31, 2026
DAL @ UTA
3 - 2
Jan 15, 2026
DAL @ UTA
1 - 2
Nov 28, 2025
UTA @ DAL
3 - 4
Apr 12, 2025
UTA @ DAL
5 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+13.1% more
Utah: 29.3
vs
Dallas: 25.4
Takeaways (L5)
+15.9% more
Dallas: 5.0
vs
Utah: 4.3
Power Play % (L5)
+12.8%
Dallas: 21.8%
vs
Utah: 9.0%
Faceoff % (L5)
+9.0%
Dallas: 53.3%
vs
Utah: 44.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTA Score
3.0
3
DAL Score
1.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.7 / 13.0
6.0 / 10.0
Faceoff %
53.3 / 44.3
50.0 / 50.0
Hits
17.4 / 18.1
19.0 / 22.0
Power Play %
21.8 / 9.0
40.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
25.4 / 29.3
28.0 / 30.0
Takeaways
5.0 / 4.3
6.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
UTA
DAL
UTA
ML
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
ATS
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
TTL
100%
3-0
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
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