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TEXAS A&M

AGGIESTA&M

5-2  |  Road

95
FINAL
Fri, Nov 28 • 5:00 PM ET
Benchmark International Arena
View Odds Details →

FLORIDA STATE

SEMINOLESFSU

5-1  |  Home

59
AI Model Win Probability
AGGIES
0%
📊
SEMINOLES
100%
AGGIES --
SEMINOLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
157.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
FLORIDA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
AggiesTA&M (-3.5) 0 SeminolesFSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Aggies Cover

46.0%

Seminoles Cover

54.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around FSU +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FSU)

TA&M By 1-7 points

26.2%

TA&M By 8-14 points

16.9%

FSU By 1-7 points

24.3%

FSU By 8-14 points

13.7%

AI Model Projected Score
79
TEXAS A&M
78
FLORIDA STATE
Simulated Score
70
TEXAS A&M
74
FLORIDA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Aggies Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Seminoles Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Seminoles (+1.5) Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim Seminoles (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u174.5 Win
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Sim u174.5 Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 28, 2025 TA&M @ FSU 95 - 59
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +24.1% more
Texas A&M: 23.2 vs Florida State: 17.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +9.6%
Texas A&M: 40.1% vs Florida State: 30.6%
Field Goal % (L5) +5.7%
Texas A&M: 49.6% vs Florida State: 43.8%
Free Throw % (L5) +4.7%
Texas A&M: 77.7% vs Florida State: 73.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TA&M Score 79.0 95
FSU Score 78.0 59
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.6 / 40.1 22.0 / 44.0
Assists 17.6 / 23.2 13.0 / 20.0
Blocks 4.9 / 2.9 5.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 43.8 / 49.6 29.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 73.0 / 77.7 47.0 / 80.0
Rebounding 39.1 / 33.4 40.0 / 60.0
Steals 12.1 / 9.1 11.0 / 13.0
Turnovers 12.3 / 11.4 16.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TA&M Advantage
22-12-0 (64.7%)
Margin: 7.1 ATS +/-: +0.6
FSU
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 2.4 ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TA&M
19-15-0 (55.9%)
Margin: 7.1 ATS +/-: +0.6
FSU Advantage
19-13-1 (59.4%)
Margin: 2.4 ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
TA&M
20-14-0
O: 58.8% / U: 41.2% Total +/-: +2.0
FSU
17-16-0
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5% Total +/-: -2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FSU
TA&M
FSU
TA&M
ML
64% 21-12
67% 20-10
59% 19-13
54% 15-13
ATS
55% 18-15
67% 20-10
59% 19-13
54% 15-13
TTL
48% 16-17
70% 21-9
100% 32-0
100% 28-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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