SOUTHERN UTAH
THUNDERBIRDSSUU
2-5 | Road
54
ROBERT MORRIS
COLONIALSRMU
4-3 | Home
61
AI Model Win Probability
THUNDERBIRDS
100%
COLONIALS
0%
THUNDERBIRDS
--
COLONIALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
193.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-29.0
ROBERT MORRIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +29.0 points (Robert Morris)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around RMU -29.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RMU)
SUU By 1-7 points
0.1%
SUU By 8-14 points
0.0%
RMU By 1-7 points
1.4%
RMU By 8-14 points
5.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Southern Utah
82
SOUTHERN UTAH
Robert Morris
111
ROBERT MORRIS
Simulated Score
Southern Utah
70
SOUTHERN UTAH
Robert Morris
74
ROBERT MORRIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Colonials
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Colonials
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Colonials (+9.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -29.0
D
Sim
Colonials (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o152.5
Loss
Proj Total: 193.0
D
Sim
u152.5
Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 28, 2025
SUU @ RMU
54 - 61
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+32.0% more
Robert Morris: 18.3
vs
Southern Utah: 13.8
Rebounding (L5)
+17.2% more
Robert Morris: 40.7
vs
Southern Utah: 34.8
Steals (L5)
+16.6% more
Robert Morris: 7.1
vs
Southern Utah: 6.1
Blocks (L5)
+20.9% more
Southern Utah: 5.0
vs
Robert Morris: 4.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SUU Score
82.0
54
RMU Score
111.0
61
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.5 / 33.4
21.0 / 25.0
Assists
18.3 / 13.8
15.0 / 9.0
Blocks
4.0 / 5.0
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
45.2 / 46.8
40.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
67.2 / 75.2
50.0 / 63.0
Rebounding
40.7 / 34.8
41.0 / 37.0
Steals
7.1 / 6.1
10.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
13.8 / 12.9
10.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SUU
10-22-0
(31.3%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: 0.0
RMU
Advantage
22-11-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 5.3
ATS +/-: +2.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SUU
14-14-1
(50.0%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: 0.0
RMU
Advantage
19-11-1
(63.3%)
Margin: 5.3
ATS +/-: +2.5
⚖️ Over/Under
SUU
17-12-0
O: 58.6% / U: 41.4%
Total +/-: +3.5
RMU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RMU
SUU
RMU
SUU
ML
36%
12-21
61%
19-12
56%
18-14
68%
21-10
ATS
55%
18-15
71%
22-9
56%
18-14
69%
22-10
TTL
55%
18-15
52%
16-15
100%
32-0
100%
32-0
