EASTERN ILLINOIS
PANTHERSEIU
2-5 | Road
62
PURDUE
BOILERMAKERSPUR
7-0 | Home
109
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
100%
BOILERMAKERS
0%
PANTHERS
--
BOILERMAKERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
PURDUE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (Purdue)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PUR -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PUR)
EIU By 1-7 points
2.2%
EIU By 8-14 points
0.4%
PUR By 1-7 points
9.3%
PUR By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Eastern Illinois
63
EASTERN ILLINOIS
Purdue
82
PURDUE
Simulated Score
Eastern Illinois
55
EASTERN ILLINOIS
Purdue
88
PURDUE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Boilermakers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Boilermakers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Boilermakers (+39.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim
Boilermakers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -33.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o141.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim
u141.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 28, 2025
EIU @ PUR
62 - 109
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+83.2% more
Purdue: 19.1
vs
Eastern Illinois: 10.4
Rebounding (L5)
+46.2% more
Purdue: 41.6
vs
Eastern Illinois: 28.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+16.8%
Purdue: 44.7%
vs
Eastern Illinois: 27.9%
Field Goal % (L5)
+9.5%
Purdue: 51.2%
vs
Eastern Illinois: 41.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EIU Score
63.0
62
PUR Score
82.0
109
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
44.7 / 27.9
48.0 / 26.0
Assists
19.1 / 10.4
28.0 / 12.0
Blocks
3.0 / 3.4
6.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
51.2 / 41.7
63.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
73.9 / 74.9
89.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
41.6 / 28.5
37.0 / 17.0
Steals
3.8 / 6.2
10.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
10.5 / 12.9
10.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
EIU
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: +0.8
PUR
Advantage
30-9-0
(76.9%)
Margin: 11.1
ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
EIU
Advantage
15-13-2
(53.6%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: +0.8
PUR
17-22-0
(43.6%)
Margin: 11.1
ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
EIU
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: -1.7
PUR
21-18-0
O: 53.8% / U: 46.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PUR
EIU
PUR
EIU
ML
67%
26-13
56%
18-14
66%
25-13
74%
23-8
ATS
64%
25-14
50%
16-16
66%
25-13
74%
23-8
TTL
51%
20-19
69%
22-10
100%
38-0
100%
31-0
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