Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Sooners @ Golden Eagles OU @ MARQ

OKLAHOMA

SOONERSOU

5-2  |  Road

75
FINAL
Fri, Nov 28 • 2:00 PM ET
Credit Union 1 Arena
View Odds Details →

MARQUETTE

GOLDEN EAGLESMARQ

4-4  |  Home

74
AI Model Win Probability
SOONERS
0%
📊
GOLDEN EAGLES
100%
SOONERS --
GOLDEN EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
OKLAHOMA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Oklahoma)
SoonersOU (-3.5) 0 Golden EaglesMARQ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Sooners Cover

61.8%

Golden Eagles Cover

38.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around OU -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OU)

OU By 1-7 points

27.2%

OU By 8-14 points

20.1%

MARQ By 1-7 points

21.6%

MARQ By 8-14 points

10.7%

AI Model Projected Score
71
OKLAHOMA
68
MARQUETTE
Simulated Score
72
OKLAHOMA
78
MARQUETTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Sooners Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Eagles Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Sooners (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim Golden Eagles (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 28, 2025 OU @ MARQ 75 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +6.1%
Oklahoma: 75.0% vs Marquette: 68.9%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +1.8%
Oklahoma: 33.4% vs Marquette: 31.6%
Turnovers (L5) +59.3% more
Marquette: 12.5 vs Oklahoma: 7.8
Steals (L5) +25.2% more
Marquette: 11.1 vs Oklahoma: 8.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
OU Score 71.0 75
MARQ Score 68.0 74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.6 / 33.4 33.0 / 39.0
Assists 17.1 / 14.4 14.0 / 19.0
Blocks 2.5 / 2.5 1.0 / 8.0
Field Goal % 45.1 / 43.7 40.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 68.9 / 75.0 73.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 37.6 / 38.9 37.0 / 33.0
Steals 11.1 / 8.9 3.0 / 1.0
Turnovers 12.5 / 7.8 5.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
61%MONEY39%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
75%MONEY25%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
42%MONEY58%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OU Advantage
21-16-0 (56.8%)
Margin: 5.5 ATS +/-: +0.9
MARQ
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OU Advantage
17-19-1 (47.2%)
Margin: 5.5 ATS +/-: +0.9
MARQ
12-19-1 (38.7%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
OU
19-18-0
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7% Total +/-: +1.8
MARQ
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1% Total +/-: -1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MARQ
OU
MARQ
OU
ML
59% 19-13
78% 28-8
62% 20-12
59% 20-14
ATS
53% 17-15
72% 26-10
62% 20-12
59% 20-14
TTL
50% 16-16
75% 27-9
100% 32-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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