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OHIO STATE

BUCKEYESOSU

6-1  |  Road

66
FINAL
Fri, Nov 28 • 7:00 PM ET
Petersen Events Center
View Odds Details →

PITTSBURGH

PANTHERSPITT

5-3  |  Home

67
AI Model Win Probability
BUCKEYES
100%
📊
PANTHERS
0%
BUCKEYES --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
84.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
PITTSBURGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Pittsburgh)
BuckeyesOSU (-3.5) 0 PanthersPITT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Buckeyes Cover

8.1%

Panthers Cover

91.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PITT -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PITT)

OSU By 1-7 points

5.8%

OSU By 8-14 points

1.4%

PITT By 1-7 points

16.9%

PITT By 8-14 points

26.2%

AI Model Projected Score
35
OHIO STATE
49
PITTSBURGH
Simulated Score
68
OHIO STATE
72
PITTSBURGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Panthers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Panthers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 84.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 28, 2025 OSU @ PITT 66 - 67
Nov 29, 2024 PITT @ OSU 91 - 90
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +192.9% more
Pittsburgh: 4.1 vs Ohio State: 1.4
Turnovers (L5) +29.2% more
Pittsburgh: 13.1 vs Ohio State: 10.1
Steals (L5) +13.7% more
Pittsburgh: 7.6 vs Ohio State: 6.7
Assists (L5) +30.0% more
Ohio State: 17.9 vs Pittsburgh: 12.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
OSU Score 35.0 66
PITT Score 49.0 67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.3 / 38.0 23.0 / 29.0
Assists 12.5 / 17.9 6.0 / 8.0
Blocks 4.1 / 1.4 3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 43.5 / 52.9 38.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 68.7 / 80.2 63.0 / 87.0
Rebounding 34.4 / 39.5 39.0 / 38.0
Steals 7.6 / 6.7 9.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 13.1 / 10.1 5.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
94%TICKETS6%
90%MONEY10%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
79%TICKETS21%
73%MONEY27%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
76%MONEY24%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OSU Advantage
21-13-0 (61.8%)
Margin: 6.7 ATS +/-: +1.8
PITT
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: -1.3 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OSU
17-16-1 (51.5%)
Margin: 6.7 ATS +/-: +1.8
PITT
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: -1.3 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
OSU
16-18-0
O: 47.1% / U: 52.9% Total +/-: -1.0
PITT
17-15-1
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9% Total +/-: -0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PITT
OSU
PITT
OSU
ML
58% 19-14
53% 18-16
45% 15-18
73% 24-9
ATS
64% 21-12
59% 20-14
45% 15-18
73% 24-9
TTL
61% 20-13
56% 19-15
100% 33-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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