SAM HOUSTON
BEARKATSSHSU
5-2 | Road
94
IDAHO
VANDALSIDHO
4-3 | Home
68
AI Model Win Probability
BEARKATS
100%
VANDALS
0%
BEARKATS
--
VANDALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
114.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-34.0
IDAHO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +34.0 points (Idaho)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around IDHO -34.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IDHO)
SHSU By 1-7 points
0.0%
SHSU By 8-14 points
0.0%
IDHO By 1-7 points
0.4%
IDHO By 8-14 points
2.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Sam Houston
40
SAM HOUSTON
Idaho
74
IDAHO
Simulated Score
Sam Houston
68
SAM HOUSTON
Idaho
75
IDAHO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Vandals
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Vandals
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Vandals (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Sim
Vandals (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 114.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 28, 2025
SHSU @ IDHO
94 - 68
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.9%
Idaho: 34.2%
vs
Sam Houston: 31.3%
Blocks (L5)
+43.5% more
Sam Houston: 3.2
vs
Idaho: 1.8
Steals (L5)
+24.1% more
Sam Houston: 8.6
vs
Idaho: 6.6
Turnovers (L5)
+14.3% more
Sam Houston: 13.0
vs
Idaho: 11.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SHSU Score
40.0
94
IDHO Score
74.0
68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.2 / 31.3
30.0 / 59.0
Assists
14.0 / 14.6
11.0 / 22.0
Blocks
1.8 / 3.2
1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
43.1 / 46.7
45.0 / 55.0
Free Throw %
75.8 / 78.3
47.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
39.6 / 42.3
24.0 / 36.0
Steals
6.6 / 8.6
1.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
11.2 / 13.0
9.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SHSU
Advantage
22-12-0
(64.7%)
Margin: 7.1
ATS +/-: +3.5
IDHO
21-15-0
(58.3%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SHSU
Advantage
20-11-0
(64.5%)
Margin: 7.1
ATS +/-: +3.5
IDHO
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
SHSU
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +2.2
IDHO
14-19-0
O: 42.4% / U: 57.6%
Total +/-: -1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IDHO
SHSU
IDHO
SHSU
ML
56%
20-16
55%
18-15
64%
21-12
74%
23-8
ATS
58%
21-15
64%
21-12
64%
21-12
74%
23-8
TTL
69%
25-11
48%
16-17
100%
33-0
100%
31-0
Contextual Game News
