CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
12-7 | Road
123
ATLANTA
HAWKSATL
11-8 | Home
130
AI Model Win Probability
CAVALIERS
100%
HAWKS
0%
CAVALIERS
--
HAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
208.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
ATLANTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Atlanta)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ATL -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATL)
CLE By 1-7 points
4.0%
CLE By 8-14 points
0.8%
ATL By 1-7 points
13.7%
ATL By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
96
CLEVELAND
Atlanta
112
ATLANTA
Simulated Score
Cleveland
109
CLEVELAND
Atlanta
115
ATLANTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hawks (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim
Hawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u236.0
Loss
Proj Total: 208.0
D
Sim
u236.0
Win
Proj Total: 224.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 10, 2026
CLE @ ATL
102 - 124
Apr 8, 2026
ATL @ CLE
116 - 122
Nov 28, 2025
CLE @ ATL
123 - 130
Nov 2, 2025
ATL @ CLE
109 - 117
Jan 30, 2025
ATL @ CLE
115 - 137
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+19.8% more
Atlanta: 31.7
vs
Cleveland: 26.5
Blocks (L5)
+10.4% more
Atlanta: 5.7
vs
Cleveland: 5.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.0%
Atlanta: 37.7%
vs
Cleveland: 33.6%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.0%
Atlanta: 48.3%
vs
Cleveland: 46.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
96.0
123
ATL Score
112.0
130
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.7 / 33.6
37.0 / 44.0
Assists
31.7 / 26.5
36.0 / 29.0
Blocks
5.7 / 5.2
5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
48.3 / 46.3
53.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
74.8 / 79.8
69.0 / 90.0
Rebounding
40.4 / 41.9
38.0 / 48.0
Steals
6.5 / 8.6
11.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
14.4 / 13.5
14.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
Advantage
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
ATL
48-40-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
ATL
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
ATL
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATL
CLE
ATL
CLE
ML
50%
52-52
60%
69-46
55%
48-40
56%
55-44
ATS
53%
55-48-1
67%
75-37-3
55%
48-40
56%
55-44
TTL
53%
55-48-1
59%
68-47
100%
88-0
100%
99-0
Contextual Game News
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
Bill Self's Revamped Kansas Roster Built for Another National Ti…
Hawks Look to Bounce Back Against Spurs in Preseason Clash
Cavs 2026-27 Viewing Guide: DAZN, National TV, and Free Over-the…
From Diamond to Broadcast Booth: Detroit's Legacy of Great Athle…