CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
9-8 | Road
116
CHARLOTTE
HORNETSCHA
4-14 | Home
123
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
0%
HORNETS
100%
BULLS
--
HORNETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
189.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CHI -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)
CHI By 1-7 points
21.6%
CHI By 8-14 points
27.4%
CHA By 1-7 points
9.3%
CHA By 8-14 points
2.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
100
CHICAGO
Charlotte
89
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
Chicago
103
CHICAGO
Charlotte
112
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bulls
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hornets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bulls (+3)
Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Hornets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u249.5
Win
Proj Total: 189.0
D
Sim
u249.5
Win
Proj Total: 215.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 24, 2026
CHA @ CHI
131 - 99
Jan 3, 2026
CHA @ CHI
112 - 99
Dec 12, 2025
CHI @ CHA
129 - 126
Nov 28, 2025
CHI @ CHA
116 - 123
Apr 6, 2025
CHI @ CHA
131 - 117
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+48.4% more
Chicago: 6.0
vs
Charlotte: 3.1
Assists (L5)
+24.5% more
Chicago: 28.7
vs
Charlotte: 21.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.1%
Chicago: 35.2%
vs
Charlotte: 31.1%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.3%
Chicago: 46.6%
vs
Charlotte: 43.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
100.0
116
CHA Score
89.0
123
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.1 / 35.2
33.0 / 22.0
Assists
21.7 / 28.7
28.0 / 31.0
Blocks
3.1 / 6.0
10.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
43.4 / 46.6
45.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
82.6 / 76.6
83.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
40.3 / 42.4
46.0 / 44.0
Steals
5.6 / 5.6
6.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
15.2 / 14.8
14.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
CHA
Advantage
45-39-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
CHA
Advantage
50-34-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9%
Total +/-: -3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHA
CHI
CHA
CHI
ML
61%
60-39
56%
54-42
48%
40-44
57%
46-35
ATS
60%
59-40
65%
62-33-1
48%
40-44
57%
46-35
TTL
58%
57-42
58%
56-40
100%
84-0
100%
81-0
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