SACRAMENTO
KINGSSAC
5-14 | Road
119
UTAH
JAZZUTAH
5-12 | Home
128
AI Model Win Probability
KINGS
100%
JAZZ
0%
KINGS
--
JAZZ
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
256.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-32.0
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +32.0 points (Utah)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UTAH -32.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTAH)
SAC By 1-7 points
0.1%
SAC By 8-14 points
0.0%
UTAH By 1-7 points
0.6%
UTAH By 8-14 points
3.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Sacramento
112
SACRAMENTO
Utah
144
UTAH
Simulated Score
Sacramento
108
SACRAMENTO
Utah
115
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Jazz
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jazz
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Jazz (-2)
Win
Proj Spread: -32.0
D
Sim
Jazz (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o242.0
Win
Proj Total: 256.0
D
Sim
u242.0
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 15, 2026
UTAH @ SAC
111 - 116
Feb 11, 2026
SAC @ UTAH
93 - 121
Nov 28, 2025
SAC @ UTAH
119 - 128
Oct 24, 2025
UTAH @ SAC
104 - 105
Feb 26, 2025
SAC @ UTAH
118 - 101
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+24.0% more
Utah: 30.6
vs
Sacramento: 24.7
Turnovers (L5)
+12.6% more
Utah: 16.6
vs
Sacramento: 14.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.3%
Sacramento: 82.2%
vs
Utah: 75.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SAC Score
112.0
119
UTAH Score
144.0
128
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.9 / 32.5
32.0 / 34.0
Assists
30.6 / 24.7
32.0 / 27.0
Blocks
4.0 / 4.0
5.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
46.5 / 46.5
48.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
75.0 / 82.2
78.0 / 72.0
Rebounding
44.1 / 41.2
49.0 / 44.0
Steals
8.4 / 8.6
7.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
16.6 / 14.8
13.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SAC
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SAC
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
UTAH
Advantage
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +0.8
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
SAC
UTAH
SAC
ML
60%
96-63
55%
55-45
48%
40-43
61%
50-32
ATS
68%
108-51
54%
52-45-3
48%
40-43
61%
50-32
TTL
75%
119-39-1
58%
57-42-1
100%
83-0
100%
82-0
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