MEMPHIS
GRIZZLIESMEM
7-12 | Road
112
LA
CLIPPERSLAC
5-13 | Home
107
AI Model Win Probability
GRIZZLIES
100%
CLIPPERS
0%
GRIZZLIES
--
CLIPPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
223.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-27.0
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +27.0 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAC -27.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
MEM By 1-7 points
0.3%
MEM By 8-14 points
0.0%
LAC By 1-7 points
2.2%
LAC By 8-14 points
8.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Memphis
98
MEMPHIS
LA
125
LA
Simulated Score
Memphis
110
MEMPHIS
LA
115
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Clippers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Clippers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Clippers (-6.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Sim
Clippers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u224.5
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Sim
u224.5
Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
LAC @ MEM
123 - 120
Dec 15, 2025
MEM @ LAC
121 - 103
Dec 5, 2025
LAC @ MEM
98 - 107
Nov 28, 2025
MEM @ LAC
112 - 107
Mar 21, 2025
MEM @ LAC
108 - 128
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+13.9% more
LA: 15.2
vs
Memphis: 13.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.7%
LA: 86.2%
vs
Memphis: 81.5%
Blocks (L5)
+44.1% more
Memphis: 5.4
vs
LA: 3.0
Assists (L5)
+28.7% more
Memphis: 33.3
vs
LA: 23.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MEM Score
98.0
112
LAC Score
125.0
107
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.4 / 35.9
32.0 / 43.0
Assists
23.7 / 33.3
19.0 / 24.0
Blocks
3.0 / 5.4
5.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
47.9 / 47.0
43.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
86.2 / 81.5
90.0 / 77.0
Rebounding
37.2 / 48.7
39.0 / 53.0
Steals
6.9 / 7.5
13.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
15.2 / 13.3
13.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MEM
25-57-0
(30.5%)
Margin: -6.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MEM
37-45-0
(45.1%)
Margin: -6.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
MEM
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +1.4
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
MEM
LAC
MEM
ML
60%
59-40
57%
59-44
55%
45-37
50%
41-41
ATS
66%
65-33-1
63%
65-38
55%
45-37
50%
41-41
TTL
59%
58-40-1
70%
71-31-1
100%
82-0
100%
82-0
Contextual Game News
Cooper Flagg and Mavericks Face Media at NBA China Games in Macao
Matt Barnes: Clippers Are Cursed, Urges Steve Ballmer to Rebrand
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
Kyrie Irving Set for Mavericks Return in China After 19-Month AC…
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Declares Himself NBA's Best Player, Shru…