SAN FRANCISCO
DONSSF
5-2 | Road
69
COLORADO
BUFFALOESCOLO
6-0 | Home
79
AI Model Win Probability
DONS
0%
BUFFALOES
100%
DONS
--
BUFFALOES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
164.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (San Francisco)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SF -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SF)
SF By 1-7 points
20.1%
SF By 8-14 points
27.2%
COLO By 1-7 points
8.0%
COLO By 8-14 points
2.2%
AI Model Projected Score
San Francisco
88
SAN FRANCISCO
Colorado
76
COLORADO
Simulated Score
San Francisco
70
SAN FRANCISCO
Colorado
75
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Dons
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Buffaloes
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Dons (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim
Buffaloes (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 164.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 27, 2025
SF @ COLO
69 - 79
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+11.0% more
San Francisco: 11.9
vs
Colorado: 10.6
Blocks (L5)
+35.9% more
Colorado: 3.9
vs
San Francisco: 2.9
Assists (L5)
+26.5% more
Colorado: 19.6
vs
San Francisco: 15.5
Steals (L5)
+17.6% more
Colorado: 6.6
vs
San Francisco: 5.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SF Score
88.0
69
COLO Score
76.0
79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
44.0 / 43.7
40.0 / 37.0
Assists
19.6 / 15.5
19.0 / 11.0
Blocks
3.9 / 2.9
5.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
53.7 / 48.6
48.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
79.3 / 72.6
63.0 / 54.0
Rebounding
36.4 / 37.3
35.0 / 35.0
Steals
6.6 / 5.6
6.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
10.6 / 11.9
7.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SF
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 1.5
ATS +/-: -2.4
COLO
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SF
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: 1.5
ATS +/-: -2.4
COLO
Advantage
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
SF
17-15-0
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9%
Total +/-: +1.1
COLO
17-16-0
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5%
Total +/-: +4.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COLO
SF
COLO
SF
ML
61%
20-13
39%
13-20
69%
22-10
64%
21-12
ATS
73%
24-9
42%
14-19
69%
22-10
64%
21-12
TTL
45%
15-18
73%
24-9
100%
32-0
100%
33-0
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