RICHMOND
SPIDERSRICH
5-1 | Road
72
FURMAN
PALADINSFUR
4-3 | Home
73
AI Model Win Probability
SPIDERS
0%
PALADINS
100%
SPIDERS
--
PALADINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
165.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
RICHMOND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Richmond)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around RICH -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RICH)
RICH By 1-7 points
24.3%
RICH By 8-14 points
26.8%
FUR By 1-7 points
12.2%
FUR By 8-14 points
4.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Richmond
87
RICHMOND
Furman
78
FURMAN
Simulated Score
Richmond
74
RICHMOND
Furman
78
FURMAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Spiders
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Paladins
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Spiders (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Paladins (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 165.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 27, 2025
RICH @ FUR
72 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+44.9% more
Richmond: 8.6
vs
Furman: 4.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+13.7%
Richmond: 73.5%
vs
Furman: 59.8%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.0%
Richmond: 37.9%
vs
Furman: 29.9%
Blocks (L5)
+48.5% more
Furman: 3.4
vs
Richmond: 2.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
RICH Score
87.0
72
FUR Score
78.0
73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.9 / 37.9
32.0 / 33.0
Assists
18.2 / 18.2
15.0 / 15.0
Blocks
3.4 / 2.3
5.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
48.1 / 48.5
52.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
59.8 / 73.5
43.0 / 88.0
Rebounding
40.5 / 41.5
34.0 / 36.0
Steals
4.7 / 8.6
7.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
10.3 / 10.3
16.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RICH
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: +0.2
FUR
Advantage
22-13-0
(62.9%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RICH
Advantage
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: +0.2
FUR
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
RICH
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: +0.8
FUR
15-16-1
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6%
Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FUR
RICH
FUR
RICH
ML
71%
25-10
53%
17-15
62%
21-13
56%
18-14
ATS
63%
22-13
44%
14-18
62%
21-13
56%
18-14
TTL
57%
20-15
56%
18-14
100%
34-0
100%
32-0
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