Home / NFL Projections NFL / 49ers @ Browns SF @ CLE

SAN FRANCISCO

49ERSSF

8-4  |  Road

26
FINAL
Sun, Nov 30 • 1:00 PM ET
Huntington Bank Field
View Odds Details →

CLEVELAND

BROWNSCLE

3-8  |  Home

8
Key Game
Marques Sigle
KEY GAME

Marques Sigle

#36 | Safety
@
Corey Bojorquez
KEY GAME

Corey Bojorquez

#13 | Punter
Player
Marques Sigle None-None
Corey Bojorquez None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
49ERS
0%
📊
BROWNS
100%
49ERS --
BROWNS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
48.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (San Francisco)
49ersSF (-3.5) 0 BrownsCLE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

49ers Cover

92.3%

Browns Cover

7.7%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around SF -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SF)

SF By 1-6 points

8.6%

SF By 7-13 points

15.4%

CLE By 1-6 points

4.2%

CLE By 7-13 points

2.1%

AI Model Projected Score
34
SAN FRANCISCO
14
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
20
SAN FRANCISCO
27
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI 49ers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Browns Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI 49ers (+5.5) Win
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim Browns (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o35.5 Loss
Proj Total: 48.0
D
Sim u35.5 Win
Proj Total: 47.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 30, 2025 SF @ CLE 26 - 8
Oct 15, 2023 SF @ CLE 17 - 19
Oct 7, 2019 CLE @ SF 3 - 31
Dec 13, 2015 SF @ CLE 10 - 24
Oct 30, 2011 CLE @ SF 10 - 20
Key Model Drivers
First Downs (L5) +39.1% more
San Francisco: 22.7 vs Cleveland: 13.8
Net Passing Yards (L5) +31.9% more
San Francisco: 219.2 vs Cleveland: 149.3
Total Yards (L5) +27.1% more
San Francisco: 333.6 vs Cleveland: 243.3
Turnovers (L5) +26.1% more
San Francisco: 1.7 vs Cleveland: 1.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SF Score 34.0 26
CLE Score 14.0 8
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 13.8 / 22.7 15.0 / 19.0
Net Passing Yards 149.3 / 219.2 115.0 / 161.0
Rushing Yards 94.0 / 114.4 138.0 / 91.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.3 / 0.5 0.27 / 0.65
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.5 / 0.5
Total Yards 243.3 / 333.6 253.0 / 252.0
Turnovers 1.2 / 1.7 2.0 / 0.0
Yards Per Play 4.4 / 5.4 4.2 / 3.9
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
77%TICKETS23%
66%MONEY34%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
55%MONEY45%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
37%MONEY63%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SF Advantage
4-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 14.5 ATS +/-: +9.5
CLE
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: -3.5 ATS +/-: +2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SF
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 14.5 ATS +/-: +9.5
CLE
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: -3.5 ATS +/-: +2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
SF
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.8
CLE
3-1-0
O: 75.0% / U: 25.0% Total +/-: +3.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
SF
CLE
SF
ML
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
ATS
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
TTL
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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