Home / NFL Projections NFL / Rams @ Panthers LAR @ CAR

LOS ANGELES

RAMSLAR

9-2  |  Road

28
FINAL
Sun, Nov 30 • 1:00 PM ET
Bank of America Stadium
View Odds Details →

CAROLINA

PANTHERSCAR

6-6  |  Home

31
Key Game
Ethan Evans
KEY GAME

Ethan Evans

#42 | Punter
@
Sam Martin
KEY GAME

Sam Martin

#6 | Punter
Player
Ethan Evans None-None
Sam Martin None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
RAMS
0%
📊
PANTHERS
100%
RAMS --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
37.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+3.0
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
RamsLAR (-3.5) 0 PanthersCAR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rams Cover

41.5%

Panthers Cover

58.5%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around CAR +3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)

LAR By 1-6 points

17.0%

LAR By 7-13 points

17.5%

CAR By 1-6 points

15.3%

CAR By 7-13 points

12.9%

AI Model Projected Score
20
LOS ANGELES
17
CAROLINA
Simulated Score
24
LOS ANGELES
27
CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Rams Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Panthers (+10) Win
Proj Spread: +3.0
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u44.5 Loss
Proj Total: 37.0
D
Sim u44.5 Win
Proj Total: 51.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 10, 2026 LAR @ CAR 34 - 31
Nov 30, 2025 LAR @ CAR 28 - 31
Oct 16, 2022 CAR @ LAR 10 - 24
Sep 8, 2019 LAR @ CAR 30 - 27
Nov 6, 2016 CAR @ LAR 13 - 10
Key Model Drivers
First Downs (L5) +21.4% more
Los Angeles: 21.3 vs Carolina: 16.8
Net Passing Yards (L5) +11.0% more
Los Angeles: 230.3 vs Carolina: 204.9
Total Yards (L5) +10.8% more
Los Angeles: 333.9 vs Carolina: 298.0
Rushing Yards (L5) +10.2% more
Los Angeles: 103.7 vs Carolina: 93.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAR Score 20.0 28
CAR Score 17.0 31
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 16.8 / 21.3 17.0 / 22.0
Net Passing Yards 204.9 / 230.3 194.0 / 227.0
Rushing Yards 93.1 / 103.7 164.0 / 152.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.3 / 0.4 0.47 / 0.4
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.59 / 0.41
Total Yards 298.0 / 333.9 358.0 / 379.0
Turnovers 1.4 / 0.4 0.0 / 3.0
Yards Per Play 5.2 / 5.7 5.8 / 7.4
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
91%TICKETS9%
64%MONEY36%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
64%MONEY36%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
84%MONEY16%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAR
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.5
CAR
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +3.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAR
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.5
CAR
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +3.6
⚖️ Over/Under
LAR
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -3.5
CAR
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +11.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
LAR
CAR
LAR
ML
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
ATS
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
TTL
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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