Home / NFL Projections NFL / Vikings @ Seahawks MIN @ SEA

MINNESOTA

VIKINGSMIN

4-7  |  Road

0
FINAL
Sun, Nov 30 • 4:05 PM ET
Lumen Field
View Odds Details →

SEATTLE

SEAHAWKSSEA

8-3  |  Home

26
Key Game
Myles Price
KEY GAME

Myles Price

#4 | Wide Receiver
@
Michael Dickson
KEY GAME

Michael Dickson

#4 | Punter
Player
Myles Price None-None
Michael Dickson None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
VIKINGS
100%
📊
SEAHAWKS
0%
VIKINGS --
SEAHAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
41.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Seattle)
VikingsMIN (-3.5) 0 SeahawksSEA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Vikings Cover

14.2%

Seahawks Cover

85.8%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around SEA -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)

MIN By 1-6 points

7.2%

MIN By 7-13 points

4.1%

SEA By 1-6 points

12.2%

SEA By 7-13 points

18.5%

AI Model Projected Score
13
MINNESOTA
28
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
21
MINNESOTA
24
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Seahawks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Seahawks Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Seahawks (-12.5) Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim Seahawks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u42.5 Win
Proj Total: 41.0
D
Sim u42.5 Win
Proj Total: 45.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 30, 2025 MIN @ SEA 0 - 26
Dec 22, 2024 MIN @ SEA 27 - 24
Sep 26, 2021 SEA @ MIN 17 - 30
Oct 11, 2020 MIN @ SEA 26 - 27
Dec 2, 2019 MIN @ SEA 30 - 37
Key Model Drivers
Net Passing Yards (L5) +77.7% more
Seattle: 248.7 vs Minnesota: 140.0
Total Yards (L5) +54.3% more
Seattle: 375.6 vs Minnesota: 243.4
Yards Per Play (L5) +48.3% more
Seattle: 6.6 vs Minnesota: 4.5
First Downs (L5) +43.8% more
Seattle: 21.2 vs Minnesota: 14.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIN Score 13.0 0
SEA Score 28.0 26
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 21.2 / 14.7 17.0 / 11.0
Net Passing Yards 248.7 / 140.0 94.0 / 96.0
Rushing Yards 126.9 / 103.5 125.0 / 66.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.3 0.4 / 0.2
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.4 0.57 / 0.43
Total Yards 375.6 / 243.4 219.0 / 162.0
Turnovers 1.8 / 2.3 2.0 / 5.0
Yards Per Play 6.6 / 4.5 3.5 / 3.2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
9%TICKETS91%
23%MONEY77%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
37%MONEY63%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
74%MONEY26%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN Advantage
4-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 8.8 ATS +/-: +7.0
SEA
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +2.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 8.8 ATS +/-: +7.0
SEA
1-1-2 (50.0%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +2.3
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0% Total +/-: -9.0
SEA
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
MIN
SEA
MIN
ML
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
ATS
50% 1-1-2
25% 1-3
50% 1-1-2
100% 4-0
TTL
25% 1-3
0% 0-4
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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