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CINCINNATI

BENGALSCIN

3-8  |  Road

32
FINAL
Thu, Nov 27 • 8:20 PM ET
M&T Bank Stadium
View Odds Details →

BALTIMORE

RAVENSBAL

6-5  |  Home

14
Key Game
Ryan Rehkow
KEY GAME

Ryan Rehkow

#8 | Punter
@
Tyler Loop
KEY GAME

Tyler Loop

#33 | Place kicker
Player
Ryan Rehkow None-None
Tyler Loop None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
BENGALS
100%
📊
RAVENS
0%
BENGALS --
RAVENS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
51.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
BALTIMORE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Baltimore)
BengalsCIN (-3.5) 0 RavensBAL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bengals Cover

21.6%

Ravens Cover

78.4%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around BAL -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BAL)

CIN By 1-6 points

10.0%

CIN By 7-13 points

6.6%

BAL By 1-6 points

14.7%

BAL By 7-13 points

19.7%

AI Model Projected Score
20
CINCINNATI
31
BALTIMORE
Simulated Score
20
CINCINNATI
24
BALTIMORE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Ravens Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Ravens Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Ravens (-7.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim Ravens (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u52.5 Win
Proj Total: 51.0
D
Sim u52.5 Win
Proj Total: 44.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 14, 2025 BAL @ CIN 24 - 0
Nov 27, 2025 CIN @ BAL 32 - 14
Nov 7, 2024 CIN @ BAL 34 - 35
Oct 6, 2024 BAL @ CIN 41 - 38
Nov 16, 2023 CIN @ BAL 20 - 34
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +32.7% more
Baltimore: 140.3 vs Cincinnati: 105.8
Net Passing Yards (L5) +32.7% more
Cincinnati: 240.9 vs Baltimore: 162.1
Turnovers (L5) +32.4% more
Cincinnati: 1.4 vs Baltimore: 1.0
Total Yards (L5) +12.8% more
Cincinnati: 346.7 vs Baltimore: 302.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CIN Score 20.0 32
BAL Score 31.0 14
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 18.2 / 20.8 16.0 / 22.0
Net Passing Yards 162.1 / 240.9 223.0 / 254.0
Rushing Yards 140.3 / 105.8 123.0 / 128.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.3 / 0.4 0.3 / 0.42
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.35 / 0.65
Total Yards 302.4 / 346.7 346.0 / 382.0
Turnovers 1.0 / 1.4 5.0 / 1.0
Yards Per Play 5.1 / 5.5 6.1 / 4.8
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
48%MONEY52%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
44%MONEY56%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
66%MONEY34%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CIN
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +1.3
BAL Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 5.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CIN Advantage
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +1.3
BAL
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: 5.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
CIN
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -2.3
BAL
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +5.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BAL
CIN
BAL
CIN
ML
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
ATS
33% 1-2-1
25% 1-3
100% 3-0-1
75% 3-1
TTL
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
0% 0-4
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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