Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Mavericks @ Panthers OMA @ FIU

OMAHA

MAVERICKSOMA

2-4  |  Road

61
FINAL
Wed, Nov 26 • 2:00 PM ET
Ocean Bank Convocation Center
View Odds Details →

FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL

PANTHERSFIU

2-3  |  Home

74
AI Model Win Probability
MAVERICKS
100%
📊
PANTHERS
0%
MAVERICKS --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
131.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Florida International)
MavericksOMA (-3.5) 0 PanthersFIU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Mavericks Cover

24.2%

Panthers Cover

75.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around FIU -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FIU)

OMA By 1-7 points

15.3%

OMA By 8-14 points

5.8%

FIU By 1-7 points

26.2%

FIU By 8-14 points

25.3%

AI Model Projected Score
62
OMAHA
69
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Simulated Score
71
OMAHA
75
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Panthers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Panthers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 131.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 26, 2025 OMA @ FIU 61 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +84.7% more
Florida International: 5.2 vs Omaha: 2.8
Rebounding (L5) +31.4% more
Florida International: 42.9 vs Omaha: 32.7
Steals (L5) +17.9% more
Florida International: 7.7 vs Omaha: 6.5
Turnovers (L5) +15.0% more
Florida International: 12.5 vs Omaha: 10.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
OMA Score 62.0 61
FIU Score 69.0 74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.4 / 35.9 35.0 / 26.0
Assists 15.8 / 15.0 17.0 / 11.0
Blocks 5.2 / 2.8 7.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 39.9 / 46.6 41.0 / 36.0
Free Throw % 63.7 / 69.9 50.0 / 70.0
Rebounding 42.9 / 32.7 35.0 / 42.0
Steals 7.7 / 6.5 14.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 12.5 / 10.9 7.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
6%TICKETS94%
5%MONEY95%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
64%MONEY36%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
28%TICKETS72%
27%MONEY73%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OMA Advantage
16-17-0 (48.5%)
Margin: -0.5 ATS +/-: +0.1
FIU
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: +1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OMA
14-15-0 (48.3%)
Margin: -0.5 ATS +/-: +0.1
FIU Advantage
16-13-0 (55.2%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: +1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
OMA
14-14-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.6
FIU
15-13-1
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4% Total +/-: +1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FIU
OMA
FIU
OMA
ML
58% 18-13
79% 26-7
65% 20-11
67% 22-11
ATS
52% 16-15
76% 25-8
65% 20-11
67% 22-11
TTL
65% 20-11
73% 24-9
100% 31-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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