NAVY
MIDSHIPMENNAVY
3-3 | Road
84
GARDNER-WEBB
RUNNIN' BULLDOGSGWEB
0-6 | Home
51
AI Model Win Probability
MIDSHIPMEN
0%
RUNNIN' BULLDOGS
100%
MIDSHIPMEN
--
RUNNIN' BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
137.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
NAVY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Navy)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NAVY -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NAVY)
NAVY By 1-7 points
18.6%
NAVY By 8-14 points
26.8%
GWEB By 1-7 points
6.8%
GWEB By 8-14 points
1.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Navy
75
NAVY
Gardner-Webb
62
GARDNER-WEBB
Simulated Score
Navy
68
NAVY
Gardner-Webb
72
GARDNER-WEBB
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Midshipmen
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Runnin' Bulldogs
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Midshipmen (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim
Runnin' Bulldogs (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 26, 2025
NAVY @ GWEB
84 - 51
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+16.3% more
Navy: 14.2
vs
Gardner-Webb: 11.9
Steals (L5)
+14.9% more
Navy: 6.9
vs
Gardner-Webb: 5.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+14.8%
Navy: 77.4%
vs
Gardner-Webb: 62.5%
Rebounding (L5)
+12.3% more
Navy: 37.4
vs
Gardner-Webb: 32.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NAVY Score
75.0
84
GWEB Score
62.0
51
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.2 / 37.7
16.0 / 46.0
Assists
11.9 / 14.2
8.0 / 20.0
Blocks
3.0 / 3.3
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
39.8 / 46.0
37.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
62.5 / 77.4
75.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
32.8 / 37.4
23.0 / 40.0
Steals
5.9 / 6.9
7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
15.3 / 10.5
16.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NAVY
Advantage
26-8-0
(76.5%)
Margin: 10.3
ATS +/-: +3.7
GWEB
4-29-0
(12.1%)
Margin: -17.3
ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NAVY
Advantage
20-11-1
(64.5%)
Margin: 10.3
ATS +/-: +3.7
GWEB
15-14-1
(51.7%)
Margin: -17.3
ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
NAVY
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: -1.3
GWEB
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GWEB
NAVY
GWEB
NAVY
ML
73%
22-8
79%
26-7
63%
19-11
55%
18-15
ATS
73%
22-8
73%
24-9
63%
19-11
55%
18-15
TTL
53%
16-14
73%
24-9
100%
30-0
100%
33-0