KENNESAW STATE
OWLSKENN
5-2 | Road
102
FLORIDA GULF COAST
EAGLESFGCU
5-3 | Home
100
AI Model Win Probability
OWLS
0%
EAGLES
100%
OWLS
--
EAGLES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
184.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
KENNESAW STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Kennesaw State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around KENN -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KENN)
KENN By 1-7 points
23.0%
KENN By 8-14 points
27.2%
FGCU By 1-7 points
10.7%
FGCU By 8-14 points
3.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Kennesaw State
97
KENNESAW STATE
Florida Gulf Coast
87
FLORIDA GULF COAST
Simulated Score
Kennesaw State
68
KENNESAW STATE
Florida Gulf Coast
74
FLORIDA GULF COAST
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Owls
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Eagles
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Owls (-1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim
Eagles (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o159.5
Win
Proj Total: 184.0
D
Sim
u159.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 26, 2025
KENN @ FGCU
102 - 100
Feb 22, 2024
KENN @ FGCU
74 - 67
Jan 12, 2024
FGCU @ KENN
75 - 78
Jan 21, 2023
KENN @ FGCU
65 - 63
Feb 16, 2022
KENN @ FGCU
76 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+45.1% more
Kennesaw State: 5.0
vs
Florida Gulf Coast: 2.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.9%
Florida Gulf Coast: 39.2%
vs
Kennesaw State: 33.3%
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.6%
Florida Gulf Coast: 71.2%
vs
Kennesaw State: 67.6%
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.7%
Florida Gulf Coast: 46.9%
vs
Kennesaw State: 45.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
KENN Score
97.0
102
FGCU Score
87.0
100
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.2 / 33.3
40.0 / 36.0
Assists
14.5 / 13.6
13.0 / 12.0
Blocks
2.8 / 5.0
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
46.9 / 45.2
45.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
71.2 / 67.6
72.0 / 81.0
Rebounding
40.9 / 41.5
35.0 / 45.0
Steals
8.8 / 9.2
12.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
13.0 / 13.3
12.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KENN
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 6.8
ATS +/-: +0.8
FGCU
16-18-0
(47.1%)
Margin: 1.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KENN
Advantage
15-16-1
(48.4%)
Margin: 6.8
ATS +/-: +0.8
FGCU
9-22-1
(29.0%)
Margin: 1.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
KENN
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: +0.8
FGCU
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: +1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FGCU
KENN
FGCU
KENN
ML
58%
19-14
74%
25-9
67%
22-11
72%
23-9
ATS
61%
20-13
71%
24-10
67%
22-11
73%
24-9
TTL
61%
20-13
56%
19-15
100%
33-0
100%
33-0
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