SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
JACKRABBITSSDST
4-2 | Road
52
UC IRVINE
ANTEATERSUCI
3-3 | Home
64
AI Model Win Probability
JACKRABBITS
100%
ANTEATERS
0%
JACKRABBITS
--
ANTEATERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
129.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
UC IRVINE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (UC Irvine)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UCI -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UCI)
SDST By 1-7 points
4.8%
SDST By 8-14 points
1.1%
UCI By 1-7 points
15.3%
UCI By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
South Dakota State
57
SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
UC Irvine
72
UC IRVINE
Simulated Score
South Dakota State
68
SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
UC Irvine
72
UC IRVINE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Anteaters
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Anteaters
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Anteaters (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim
Anteaters (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 129.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 26, 2025
SDST @ UCI
52 - 64
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+224.7% more
UC Irvine: 6.2
vs
South Dakota State: 1.9
Steals (L5)
+10.0% more
UC Irvine: 7.7
vs
South Dakota State: 7.0
Assists (L5)
+18.2% more
South Dakota State: 15.1
vs
UC Irvine: 12.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.4%
South Dakota State: 73.4%
vs
UC Irvine: 67.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SDST Score
57.0
52
UCI Score
72.0
64
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
23.7 / 29.5
24.0 / 17.0
Assists
12.3 / 15.1
9.0 / 8.0
Blocks
6.2 / 1.9
6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
39.1 / 45.1
39.0 / 32.0
Free Throw %
67.0 / 73.4
75.0 / 59.0
Rebounding
37.7 / 39.3
42.0 / 33.0
Steals
7.7 / 7.0
9.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
13.3 / 14.3
20.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SDST
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: 2.6
ATS +/-: -1.8
UCI
Advantage
23-12-0
(65.7%)
Margin: 8.6
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SDST
12-16-1
(42.9%)
Margin: 2.6
ATS +/-: -1.8
UCI
Advantage
16-16-1
(50.0%)
Margin: 8.6
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
SDST
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: 0.0
UCI
12-21-0
O: 36.4% / U: 63.6%
Total +/-: -2.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UCI
SDST
UCI
SDST
ML
57%
20-15
75%
24-8
53%
18-16
53%
17-15
ATS
63%
22-13
78%
25-7
53%
18-16
53%
17-15
TTL
57%
20-15
53%
17-15
100%
34-0
100%
32-0
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